Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2021 at 7pm UK
NAC Breda4 - 1SBV Excelsior
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duku (64')
Nieuwpoort (45+1')
Nieuwpoort (45+1')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and SBV Excelsior.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 50.96% | 22.86% | 26.18% |
| Both teams to score 60.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.62% | 40.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.25% | 62.75% |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% | 15.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% | 45.3% |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% | 64.28% |
| Score Analysis |
NAC Breda 50.96%
SBV Excelsior 26.18%
Draw 22.86%
| NAC Breda | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.57% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-1 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.51% Total : 26.18% |


