Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
