Jong Ajax
4 - 3
MVV

Unuvar (12'), Musampa (39'), Martha (53'), Hansen (76')
Baas (37')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Naudts (29', 87'), Mickels (63')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and MVV Maastricht.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	MVV Maastricht
54.16%	22.23%	23.61%

Both teams to score 59.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.07%

39.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.71%

62.29%

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26%

14.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.03%

42.97%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72%

30.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54%

66.47%

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 54.16%

MVV Maastricht 23.61%

Draw 22.23%

Jong Ajax	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.11% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.23%	1-2 @ 6.1% 0-1 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.61%