Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and De Graafschap.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.1%) and 0-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 25.05% | 21.43% | 53.53% |
| Both teams to score 64.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.47% | 34.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.54% | 56.47% |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% | 26.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.67% | 61.33% |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% | 13.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.29% | 39.72% |
| Score Analysis |
Jong Ajax 25.05%
De Graafschap 53.53%
Draw 21.43%
| Jong Ajax | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 6.25% 1-0 @ 4.6% 2-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 0.95% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.05% | 1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 6.36% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-2 @ 7.1% 0-1 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 4.31% 1-4 @ 3.27% 0-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 2.19% 1-5 @ 1.33% 0-5 @ 0.99% 3-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.53% |


