Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
