Danish Superliga | Gameweek 6
May 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
3 - 0
Viborg

Mortensen (23' pen.), Emil Madsen (49', 66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Viborg FF.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nordsjaelland 0-1 Aarhus
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Viborg 3-1 Randers
Sunday, April 30 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Viborg FF had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Viborg FF win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawViborg FF
38.21% (0.18 0.18)26.27% (0.152 0.15)35.51% (-0.331 -0.33)
Both teams to score 53.25% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (-0.672 -0.67)51.39% (0.673 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79% (-0.59 -0.59)73.21% (0.59100000000001 0.59)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.212 -0.21)26.24% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-0.285 -0.28)61.35% (0.285 0.28)
Viborg FF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)27.8% (0.52 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-0.67 -0.67)63.39% (0.67 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 38.21%
    Viborg FF 35.51%
    Draw 26.27%
AarhusDrawViborg FF
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.202 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.21%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.194 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.115 0.11)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 3pm
gameweek 2
Viborg
0-1
Aarhus

Gronning (58')
Yakob (47')
Yakob (19'), Anderson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2022 1pm
gameweek 16
Viborg
1-1
Aarhus
Grot (79')
Mortensen (41')
Mortensen (49')
Jul 24, 2022 1pm
gameweek 2
Aarhus
3-1
Viborg
Haugen (9'), Emil Madsen (60'), Mortensen (76')
Mortensen (87')
Bech (74')
May 15, 2022 7pm
gameweek 9
Viborg
1-0
Aarhus
Leemans (29')
Sorensen (46'), Dhia Putros (57'), Zamburek (86')

Lund (23')
Apr 14, 2022 1pm
gameweek 3
Aarhus
0-2
Viborg

Poulsen (54'), Kahl (57')
Grot (61'), Jatta (87')
Dhia Putros (64'), Bech (85')