Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Randers win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Randers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Randers would win this match.
