Lanus
4 - 2
Tucuman

Sand (26' pen., 47'), Manuel Lopez (45'), Malcorra (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Heredia (35'), Carrera (67')
Bustos (45+2'), Mussis (90+1')

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Lanus and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
48%	25.44%	26.55%

Both teams to score 51.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.66%

51.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.84%

73.16%

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.61%

54.39%

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.98%

34.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.3%

70.7%

Score Analysis

Lanus 48%

Atletico Tucuman 26.55%

Draw 25.44%

Lanus	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.41% Total : 48%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.28% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.55%