Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Defensa y Justicia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 39.06% | 27.51% | 33.44% |
| Both teams to score 49.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% | 56.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.43% | 77.57% |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% | 28.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% | 63.92% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% | 31.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% | 68.11% |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Tucuman 39.05%
Defensa y Justicia 33.43%
Draw 27.51%
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.9% 1-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.43% |


