Rosario
2 - 0
San Lorenzo

Ezequiel Almada (11'), Gamba (81')
Martinez (48'), Sangiovani (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaz (42')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Rosario Central and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario Central	Draw	San Lorenzo
43.4%	26.47%	30.13%

Both teams to score 51.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.5%

53.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.99%

75.02%

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54%

24.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.09%

58.91%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59%

32.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07%

68.93%

Score Analysis

Rosario Central 43.4%

San Lorenzo 30.13%

Draw 26.46%

Rosario Central	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.4%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.13%