Chinese Super League playoffs | Final
Nov 12, 2020 at 11.35am UK
Suzhou Olympic Sports Centre Stadium

Evergrande
1 - 2
Jiangsu

Shihao (61')
Talisca (24'), Park (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eder (45+3'), Teixeira (48')
Xiang (21'), Eder (49'), Luo (90+2'), Abdugheni (90+3'), Zhang (90+6'), Santini (90+7')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Final clash between Guangzhou and Jiangsu Suning.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Guangzhou EvergrandeDrawJiangsu Suning
46.74%25.77%27.5%
Both teams to score 51.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98%52.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24%73.76%
Guangzhou Evergrande Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76%22.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32%55.68%
Jiangsu Suning Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.37%33.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.72%70.28%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou Evergrande 46.74%
    Jiangsu Suning 27.5%
    Draw 25.76%
Guangzhou EvergrandeDrawJiangsu Suning
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.21%
2-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.15%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 27.5%