Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Charlton 2 - 1 Derby

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 8.00pm
Cardiff 1 - 1 Wrexham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 27.31% and a draw has a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-0 (6.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result

Derby County 27.31%
Draw 24.13%
Cardiff City 48.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.73% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 21.27% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.33%
Under 2.5 43.67%
Over 3.5 34.37%
Under 3.5 65.63%
Over 4.5 20.47% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 79.53% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Derby County 23.75%
Draw 38.46%
Cardiff City 37.79%

Team To Score First

Derby County 40.15%
No Goal 5.85%
Cardiff City 54%

Corners

Over 8 59.01%
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 30.12%
Over 9 47.82%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 41%
Over 10.5 37.22%
Under 10.5 62.78%

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 31.19% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.81% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 11.6% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.4% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.58% (-0.02)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 78.5% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.5% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50.65% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.53%
Under 2.5 75.47%
Over 3.5 10.55%
Under 3.5 89.45%

Score analysis

Derby County 27.31%
Draw 24.12%
Cardiff City 48.56%
Derby County
1-0 @ 6.59%
2-1 @ 6.59%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.18% (+0.02)
Total : 27.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.12%
Cardiff City
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-1 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 7.37% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.32%
0-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.13%
Other @ 10.31%
Total : 48.56%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Calum Chambers 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Perry Ng 59' yellowcard
  • Callum Robinson 62' goal
  • Callum Robinson 62' goal
  • Anwar El Ghazi 64' goal
  • Anwar El Ghazi 64' goal
  • goal Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 71'
  • goal Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 71'
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 75'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Ebou Adams 20' yellowcard
  • Kenzo Goudmijn 28' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Bagan 56'
  • yellowcard Will Fish 61'
  • yellowcard Joe Ralls 65'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Liam Thompson 73' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Hugill 55'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 69'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 81'
Championship Gameweek 23
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Isaak Davies 26' yellowcard
  • Uche Ikpeazu 85' goal
  • Alfie Doughty 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 52'
  • yellowcard Curtis Davies 62'
  • yellowcard Max Bird 80'
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 34
Mar 2, 2021 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Leandro Bacuna 22' goal
  • Kieffer Moore 48' goal
  • Leandro Bacuna 56' goal
  • Will Vaulks 90'+3' goal
Championship Gameweek 8
Oct 28, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Martyn Waghorn 24' goal
  • Kamil Jozwiak 82' yellowcard
  • Graeme Shinnie 86' yellowcard
  • Mike te Wierik 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kieffer Moore 77'
  • yellowcard Sean Morrison 82'
  • yellowcard Sheyi Ojo 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Leandro Bacuna 90'+3'