/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
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Corey Blackett-Taylor
9'
-
Carlton Morris
26'
-
Bobby Clark
49'
-
Oscar Fraulo
55'
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Lewis Travis
60'
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Max Johnston
80'
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Dion Sanderson
84'
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Cian Ashford
19'
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Yousef Salech
39'
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Alex Robertson
53'
Derby County vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (6.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
27.31%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
24.16%
▲
(+0.04)
Cardiff City
48.52%
Both Teams to Score:
56.64%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.71%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
21.29%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
56.29%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
43.71%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
34.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
65.67%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
20.44%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
79.56%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Derby County
23.75%
Draw
38.46%
Cardiff City
37.79%
Team To Score First
Derby County
40.14%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
5.87%
▲
(+0.03)
Cardiff City
53.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
59.01%
Equal 8
10.88%
Under 8
30.12%
Over 9
47.82%
Equal 9
11.19%
Under 9
41%
Over 10.5
37.22%
Under 10.5
62.78%
Derby County Goals
Over 1.5
31.19%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
68.81%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
11.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
88.4%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
3.42%
Under 3.5
96.58%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
78.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
21.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
49.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
50.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
24.51%
Under 2.5
75.49%
Over 3.5
10.55%
Under 3.5
89.45%
Score analysis
Derby County
27.32%
Draw
24.16%
Cardiff City
48.52%
Derby County
1-0
@
6.6%
2-1 @ 6.59%
2-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.32%
2-1 @ 6.59%
2-0 @ 4.12%
3-1 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.32%
Draw
1-1
@
10.94%
0-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.16%
0-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.16%
Cardiff City
1-2
@
9.42%
0-1 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 5.31%
0-3 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 48.52%
0-1 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 5.31%
0-3 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 48.52%