/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
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Michael Smith
31'
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Dajaune Brown
22'
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Charlie Smith
57'
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Cruz Allen
70'
Mansfield Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-2 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result
Mansfield Town
37.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
26.34%
▼
(-0.09)
Derby County
35.93%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
57.14%
▲
(+0.22)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.45%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
22.55%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 2.5
54.08%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 2.5
45.92%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 3.5
31.92%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 3.5
68.08%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 4.5
18.14%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 4.5
81.86%
▼
(-0.22)
First Half Winner
Mansfield Town
28.12%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
42.46%
▲
(+0.04)
Derby County
29.42%
▲
(+0.04)
Team To Score First
Mansfield Town
45.64%
▲
(+0.08)
No Goal
6.4%
▼
(-0.09)
Derby County
47.96%
Corners
Over 8
65.12%
▲
(+0.40)
Equal 8
10.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
24.11%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 9
53.47%
▲
(+0.36)
Equal 9
11.64%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 9
34.88%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 10.5
41.97%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 10.5
58.03%
▼
(-0.32)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 1.5
39.82%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
60.18%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
16.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
83.52%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
5.78%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
94.22%
▼
(-0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
71%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
29%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
38.84%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 1.5
61.16%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 2.5
15.89%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
84.11%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
5.53%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
94.47%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Mansfield Town
37.68%
Draw
26.34%
Derby County
35.93%
Mansfield Town
1-0
@
8.49%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 37.68%
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 37.68%
Draw
1-1
@
12.23%
▼
(-0.13)
0-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.34%
0-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.31% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.34%
Derby County
1-2
@
8.36%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 35.93%
0-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 35.93%
