Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2026 7.00pm
One Call Stadium

Mansfield Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
Alfreton 0 - 4 Mansfield

Derby County

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 1.00pm
Derby 0 - 0 Valencia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 35.76% and a draw has a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Derby County win is 1-2 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Mansfield Town 37.83% (-0.08)
Draw 26.42% (-0.03)
Derby County 35.76% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.92% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.3% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 22.7% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 53.72% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 46.23% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 31.56% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 68.44% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 17.92% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 82.08% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Mansfield Town 28.19%
Draw 42.42% (-0.04)
Derby County 29.39% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Mansfield Town 45.56% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.48% (-0.03)
Derby County 47.96% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.73% (+0.18)
Equal 8 10.78% (-0.01)
Under 8 24.48% (-0.17)
Over 9 53.11% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.01)
Under 9 35.27% (-0.17)
Over 10.5 41.66% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 58.34% (-0.13)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 1.5 39.72% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.28% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.46%
Under 2.5 83.54%
Over 3.5 5.73%
Under 3.5 94.27%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 70.88% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 29.12% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 38.48% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 61.52% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 15.63% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 84.37% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.4% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.6% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Mansfield Town 37.83%
Draw 26.41%
Derby County 35.76%
Mansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.59%
Total : 37.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.19% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.41%
Derby County
1-2 @ 8.35% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.88% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.58%
Other @ 5.26% (+0.06)
Total : 35.76%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Oct 4, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
ET One Call Stadium
  • George Maris 45'+3' goal
  • goal Lewis Dobbin 29'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT One Call Stadium
  • Elliott Hewitt 10' yellowcard
  • John-Joe O'Toole 44' yellowcard
  • Oliver Hawkins 56' goal
  • Jordan Bowery 80' redcard
  • goal Elliott Hewitt 30' (OG)
  • yellowcard Joe Wildsmith 51'
  • goal Tom Barkhuizen 69'
  • yellowcard Kwaku Oduroh 90'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 18, 2018 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Graham 65' goal
  • Lee Angol 77' goal
  • CJ Hamilton 80' goal
  • goal Mason Bennett 69'