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Alfreton Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Alfreton Town has a probability of 26.89% and a draw has a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win is 1-0 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).
Result
Alfreton Town
26.89%
▲
(+0.32)
Draw
25.32%
Derby County
47.79%
▼
(-0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
51.74%
▲
(+0.25)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.22%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 1.5
26.78%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 2.5
48.89%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
51.11%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
26.6%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
73.4%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 4.5
15.04%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
84.96%
▼
(-0.18)
First Half Winner
Alfreton Town
21.73%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
42.94%
▼
(-0.16)
Derby County
35.34%
▲
(+0.05)
Team To Score First
Alfreton Town
38.35%
No Goal
7.7%
▼
(-0.09)
Derby County
53.95%
▲
(+0.10)
Corners
Over 8
56.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 8
12.08%
Under 8
31.18%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
44.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 9
12.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
43.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 10.5
33.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 10.5
66.77%
▼
(-0.04)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 1.5
27.32%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
72.68%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 2.5
8.76%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
91.24%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
2.22%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
97.78%
▼
(-0.08)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
76.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
23.99%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
44.24%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
55.76%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
19.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
80.24%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
7.61%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
92.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Alfreton Town
26.9%
Draw
25.33%
Derby County
47.78%
Alfreton Town
1-0
@
7.97%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 26.9%
2-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 26.9%
Draw
1-1
@
11.84%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.33%
0-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.33%
Derby County
0-1
@
11.12%
▼
(-0.11)
1-2 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 47.78%
1-2 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 47.78%