National League North
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Siyabonga Ligendza 21' yellowcard
  • <TBD> 22' yellowcard
  • Lewis Salmon 35' goal
  • Lewis Salmon 52' goal
  • goal Tony Weston 65'
  • goal Adam Barton 83'
  • goal Tony Weston 90'+8'

Alfreton Town vs Curzon Ashton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Marine AFC 2 - 3 Alfreton
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Lewis Salmon

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Curzon Ashton 0 - 4 Buxton
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Tony Weston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 44.86% (-0.03)
Draw 25.27% (+0.01)
Curzon Ashton 29.92% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.19% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.81% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 53.49%
Under 2.5 46.51%
Over 3.5 31.88%
Under 3.5 68.12%
Over 4.5 18.08%
Under 4.5 81.92%

First Half Winner

Alfreton Town 35.61% (-0.01)
Draw 39.76%
Curzon Ashton 24.62%

Team To Score First

Alfreton Town 52.1% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.14% (+0.01)
Curzon Ashton 41.76% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.41%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 29.18%
Over 9 47.65%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 40.59%
Over 10.5 36.54%
Under 10.5 63.46%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 1.5 44.81% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.19% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.12%
Under 2.5 79.88%
Over 3.5 7.37%
Under 3.5 92.63%

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5 66.15%
Under 0.5 33.85%
Over 1.5 33.65% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 66.35% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.69% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.31% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.01%
Under 3.5 95.99%

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 44.85%
Draw 25.27%
Curzon Ashton 29.93%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.15%
Total : 44.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.27%
Curzon Ashton
1-2 @ 7.23% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 4.78%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 29.93%

Head to Head

National League North
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Charlie Weston 27' goal
  • 71' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Brad Holmes 90'+5' goal
  • goal Bayley McCann 47'
  • yellowcard 64'
  • yellowcard 74'
National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tameside Stadium
National League North Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • Harry Perritt 84' yellowcard
  • Devon Matthews 86' yellowcard
  • goal Stefan Mols 45'+1'
  • yellowcard 87'
National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
National League North Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Alex Kenyon 10' goal
  • Marcus Poscha 19' redcard
  • Adam Barton 45'+2' goal
  • goal Josh Clackstone 20'
National League North Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tameside Stadium
  • goal Matt Rhead 61'