Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.