Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.77% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.