National League North Gameweek 44
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley vs Curzon Ashton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Marine AFC 2 - 1 Chorley
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Anjola Popoola

Curzon Ashton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Curzon Ashton 1 - 3 Southport
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Tony Weston

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chorley win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw has a probability of 21.77% and a win for Curzon Ashton has a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Curzon Ashton win it is 1-2 (5.01%).

Result

Chorley 59.92%
Draw 21.77%
Curzon Ashton 18.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.59%
Under 1.5 19.41%
Over 2.5 58.84%
Under 2.5 41.16%
Over 3.5 35.8%
Under 3.5 64.2%
Over 4.5 22.38%
Under 4.5 77.62%

First Half Winner

Chorley 43.39%
Draw 37.37%
Curzon Ashton 19.24%

Team To Score First

Chorley 62.39%
No Goal 5.04%
Curzon Ashton 32.57%

Corners

Over 8 64.32% (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.62% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.06% (-0.05)
Over 9 52.93% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 35.68% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.72% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 58.28% (-0.02)

Chorley Goals

Over 1.5 58.37%
Under 1.5 41.63%
Over 2.5 31.5%
Under 2.5 68.5%
Over 3.5 13.99%
Under 3.5 86.01%

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5 55.86%
Under 0.5 44.14%
Over 1.5 23.88%
Under 1.5 76.12%
Over 2.5 7.79%
Under 2.5 92.21%
Over 3.5 2.12%
Under 3.5 97.88%

Score analysis

Chorley 59.91%
Draw 21.77%
Curzon Ashton 18.32%
Chorley
2-1 @ 10.78%
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 6.49%
3-0 @ 6.28%
3-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 13.79%
Total : 59.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 5.16%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.77%
Curzon Ashton
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-1 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head

National League North
Sep 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tameside Stadium
  • Alex Curran 18' goal
  • Jimmy Spencer 86' goal
  • Jimmy Spencer 90'+6' goal
National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Scott Wilson 58' redcard
  • Brandon Powell 80' yellowcard
  • Warren Clarke 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Richards 2'
  • yellowcard Luke Griffiths 47'
  • goal Stefan Mols 50'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Spencer 58'
  • goal Jimmy Spencer 64'
  • goal Isaac Sinclair 71'
  • yellowcard Craig Mahon 75'
  • yellowcard Will Hayhurst 88'
  • yellowcard Oluwatimilehin Sobowale 90'+1'
National League North
Apr 24, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
National League North Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Jordan Richards 6' goal
  • Marco Rus 34' goal
  • Justin Johnson 52' goal
  • Jack Hazlehurst 86' goal
National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tameside Stadium
  • goal Justin Johnson 45'