Championship Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Pride Park Stadium

Derby County vs Sheffield United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 2 - 3 Derby
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Sheffield United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Sheff Utd 2 - 3 Preston
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Patrick Bamford

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Sheffield United has a probability of 32.08% and a draw has a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Sheffield United win is 0-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Derby County 41.64%
Draw 26.28%
Sheffield United 32.08%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.82%
Under 1.5 24.18%
Over 2.5 52.77% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.23% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.22%
Under 3.5 68.78%
Over 4.5 18.19%
Under 4.5 81.81%

First Half Winner

Derby County 29.01%
Draw 45.08%
Sheffield United 25.91%

Team To Score First

Derby County 48.21%
No Goal 7% (-0.01)
Sheffield United 44.79% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 61.7%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 26.73%
Over 9 49.5%
Equal 9 12.19%
Under 9 38.3%
Over 10.5 37.82%
Under 10.5 62.18%

Derby County Goals

Over 1.5 42.02%
Under 1.5 57.98%
Over 2.5 18.94% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.06% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.15%
Under 3.5 92.85%

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5 67.2% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.8% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.71%
Under 1.5 65.29%
Over 2.5 13.72% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.28% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.52%
Under 3.5 95.48%

Score analysis

Derby County 41.64%
Draw 26.28%
Sheffield United 32.08%
Derby County
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.85%
Total : 41.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 7% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 26.28%
Sheffield United
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 32.08%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Marcus Harness 70' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Brereton Diaz 49'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Souza 70'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bramall Lane
  • Vinicius Souza 38' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Hamer 53' goal
  • Anel Ahmedhodzic 56' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Warne 0'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 50'
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 86'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Korey Smith 59' goal
  • goal Anis Ben Slimane 17'
  • goal George Baldock 83'
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 85'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Lawrence 69' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 78' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Iliman Ndiaye 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 24' yellowcard
  • Billy Sharp 90' goal
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 24'
  • redcard Kelle Roos 57'