Club Friendlies 3
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T. Shade
11'
Burton Albion vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result
Burton Albion
37.96%
▲
(+3.56)
Draw
27.52%
▲
(+0.22)
Derby County
34.56%
▼
(-3.72)
Both Teams to Score:
50.89%
▲
(+1.19)
Goals
Over 1.5
71.65%
▲
(+1.03)
Under 1.5
28.35%
▼
(-1.02)
Over 2.5
46.87%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 2.5
53.13%
▼
(-0.84)
Over 3.5
26.27%
▲
(+1.22)
Under 3.5
73.73%
▼
(-1.22)
Over 4.5
14.3%
▲
(+0.73)
Under 4.5
85.7%
▼
(-0.72)
First Half Winner
Burton Albion
27.56%
▲
(+2.43)
Draw
44.97%
▲
(+0.61)
Derby County
27.46%
▼
(-3.04)
Team To Score First
Burton Albion
45.19%
▲
(+2.12)
No Goal
8.34%
▼
(-0.73)
Derby County
46.47%
▼
(-1.40)
Corners
Over 8
60.79%
▲
(+0.91)
Equal 8
11.33%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 8
27.87%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 9
48.96%
▲
(+1.12)
Equal 9
11.84%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 9
39.21%
▼
(-0.91)
Over 10.5
37.64%
▲
(+1.21)
Under 10.5
62.36%
▼
(-1.21)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 1.5
35.82%
▲
(+3.11)
Under 1.5
64.18%
▼
(-3.11)
Over 2.5
14.28%
▲
(+2.20)
Under 2.5
85.72%
▼
(-2.21)
Over 3.5
4.35%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 3.5
95.65%
▼
(-0.88)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
68.08%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 0.5
31.92%
▲
(+1.43)
Over 1.5
33.64%
▼
(-2.09)
Under 1.5
66.36%
▲
(+2.10)
Over 2.5
12.98%
▼
(-1.24)
Under 2.5
87.02%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 3.5
4.47%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
95.53%
▲
(+0.36)
Score analysis
Burton Albion
37.96%
Draw
27.53%
Derby County
34.57%
Burton Albion
1-0
@
10.43%
▲
(+0.61)
2-1 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.42)
2-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.54)
3-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.28)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.77)
Total : 37.96%
2-1 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.42)
2-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.54)
3-0 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.28)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.40)
Other @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.77)
Total : 37.96%
Draw
1-1
@
13.02%
▲
(+0.58)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.73)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 27.53%
0-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.73)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 27.53%
Derby County
0-1
@
9.64%
▼
(-0.86)
1-2 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.50)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.92)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.60)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.47)
Total : 34.57%
1-2 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.50)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.92)
1-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.60)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.47)
Total : 34.57%
Head to Head
League One
Gameweek
28
-
Tom Barkhuizen
29'
-
James Collins
49'
-
Conor Hourihane
90'+3'
-
Steve Seddon
54'
-
Deji Oshilaja
64'
-
Joe Hugill
65'
League One
Gameweek
2
-
Steve Seddon
2'
-
Dino Maamria
3'
-
James Collins
6'
-
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
45'+2'
-
Conor Hourihane
66'
-
Conor Hourihane
78'
-
Conor Washington
84'
-
Eiran Cashin
90'+6'
League One
Gameweek
44
-
David McGoldrick
63'
League One
Gameweek
21
-
Victor Adeboyejo
79'
-
James Collins
23'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
John Brayford
22'
-
Scott Fraser
51'
-
Martyn Waghorn
16'
-
Martyn Waghorn
28'
-
Martyn Waghorn
37'
-
Mason Bennett
47'
-
Max Bird
93'
Championship
-
Liam Boyce
24'
-
Jake Buxton
39'
-
Luke Murphy
44'
-
John Brayford
63'
-
Lucas Akins
68'
-
Hope Akpan
77'
-
David Nugent
29'
-
Tom Huddlestone
49'