Club Friendlies 3
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Burton Albion vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 34.41% and a draw has a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 1-0 (9.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).
Result
Burton Albion
34.41%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
27.31%
▼
(-0.05)
Derby County
38.28%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
49.7%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.63%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
29.37%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
46.03%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
53.97%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
25.05%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
74.95%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
13.58%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
86.42%
▼
(-0.08)
First Half Winner
Burton Albion
25.13%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
44.36%
Derby County
30.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Team To Score First
Burton Albion
43.07%
▲
(+0.03)
No Goal
9.06%
▼
(-0.03)
Derby County
47.87%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
59.88%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 8
11.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 8
28.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
47.84%
▲
(+0.03)
Equal 9
12.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
40.12%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 10.5
36.44%
Under 10.5
63.56%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 1.5
32.71%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
67.29%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
12.08%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
87.92%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
3.47%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
96.53%
▼
(-0.04)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
69.5%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
30.5%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
35.73%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
64.27%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 2.5
14.21%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
85.79%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
4.83%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
95.17%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Burton Albion
34.41%
Draw
27.32%
Derby County
38.28%
Burton Albion
1-0
@
9.82%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 34.41%
2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 34.41%
Draw
1-1
@
12.45%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.32%
0-0 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.32%
Derby County
0-1
@
10.5%
1-2 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.28%
1-2 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 38.28%
Head to Head
League One
Gameweek
28
-
Tom Barkhuizen
29'
-
James Collins
49'
-
Conor Hourihane
90'+3'
-
Steve Seddon
54'
-
Deji Oshilaja
64'
-
Joe Hugill
65'
League One
Gameweek
2
-
Steve Seddon
2'
-
Dino Maamria
3'
-
James Collins
6'
-
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
45'+2'
-
Conor Hourihane
66'
-
Conor Hourihane
78'
-
Conor Washington
84'
-
Eiran Cashin
90'+6'
League One
Gameweek
44
-
David McGoldrick
63'
League One
Gameweek
21
-
Victor Adeboyejo
79'
-
James Collins
23'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
John Brayford
22'
-
Scott Fraser
51'
-
Martyn Waghorn
16'
-
Martyn Waghorn
28'
-
Martyn Waghorn
37'
-
Mason Bennett
47'
-
Max Bird
93'
Championship
-
Liam Boyce
24'
-
Jake Buxton
39'
-
Luke Murphy
44'
-
John Brayford
63'
-
Lucas Akins
68'
-
Hope Akpan
77'
-
David Nugent
29'
-
Tom Huddlestone
49'