Championship
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Valley
  • Lloyd Jones 61' goal
  • Tyreece Campbell 80' goal
  • goal Sammie Szmodics 23'
  • yellowcard Sondre Langås 60'
  • yellowcard Alex Mowatt 90'
  • yellowcard Rhian Brewster  90'+8'

Charlton Athletic vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Swansea 3 - 1 Charlton

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 1 - 2 Sheff Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Charlton Athletic 33.83%
Draw 26.23%
Derby County 39.94% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.61%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 23.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 53.32%
Under 2.5 46.68%
Over 3.5 32.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.63% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Charlton Athletic 25.23%
Draw 46.35%
Derby County 28.41%

Team To Score First

Charlton Athletic 42.79%
No Goal 6.72%
Derby County 50.49%

Corners

Over 8 58.68%
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 29.77%
Over 9 46.83%
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 41.32%
Over 10.5 35.68%
Under 10.5 64.32%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 36.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.4%
Under 2.5 84.6%
Over 3.5 5.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 72.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 41.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.84%
Under 3.5 93.16%

Score analysis

Charlton Athletic 33.83%
Draw 26.24%
Derby County 39.93%
Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.08%
2-1 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 33.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.72%
2-2 @ 5.92%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 26.24%
Derby County
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.88%
Other @ 6.49%
Total : 39.93%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Valley
  • Harry Clarke 46' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Fullah 46' yellowcard
  • I. Fullah 46' yellowcard
  • Tyreece Campbell 67' goal
  • Charlie Kelman 72' yellowcard
  • Luke Berry 86' yellowcard
  • Matt Godden 87' yellowcard
  • Matty Godden 87' yellowcard
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 17' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rhian Brewster 59'
  • yellowcard Lewis Travis 59'
  • goal Bobby Clark 60'
  • yellowcard Oscar Fraulo 76'
  • yellowcard Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 76'
  • yellowcard Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 76'
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 89'
Championship
Sep 30, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Sonny Bradley 22' yellowcard
  • Eiran Cashin 39' goal
  • Joe Wildsmith 64' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie May 65'
  • goal Karoy Anderson 80'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Gillesphey 82'
  • yellowcard Chuks Aneke 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Valley
  • Kayne Ramsay 70' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kanu 82' yellowcard
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 31'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 41'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 51'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 68'
  • yellowcard Josh Vickers 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Conor Hourihane 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 9' goal
  • Eiran Cashin 69' goal
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Valley
  • Corey Taylor 62' goal
  • Steven Sessegnon 73' yellowcard
  • Albie Morgan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 51'