Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
The Valley

Charlton Athletic vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Swansea 3 - 1 Charlton

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Derby 1 - 2 Sheff Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Charlton Athletic has a probability of 33.83% and a draw has a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win is 1-0 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.72%).

Result

Charlton Athletic 33.83%
Draw 26.23% (-0.04)
Derby County 39.93% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.58% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.07% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.93% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.28% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.72% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.54% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.46% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.31% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.69% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Charlton Athletic 25.21%
Draw 46.37%
Derby County 28.42%

Team To Score First

Charlton Athletic 42.77% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.73% (-0.01)
Derby County 50.5%

Corners

Over 8 58.67%
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 29.78%
Over 9 46.81%
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 41.33%
Over 10.5 35.66%
Under 10.5 64.34%

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 1.5 36.47% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.53% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.37% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.63% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.64%
Under 3.5 94.36%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 72.76% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 27.24% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 41.32% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.68% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.19% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 81.81% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.84% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.16% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Charlton Athletic 33.84%
Draw 26.23%
Derby County 39.93%
Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.29%
Total : 33.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 26.23%
Derby County
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 4.01%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.88%
Other @ 6.49% (+0.05)
Total : 39.93%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Valley
  • Harry Clarke 46' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Fullah 46' yellowcard
  • I. Fullah 46' yellowcard
  • Tyreece Campbell 67' goal
  • Charlie Kelman 72' yellowcard
  • Luke Berry 86' yellowcard
  • Matt Godden 87' yellowcard
  • Matty Godden 87' yellowcard
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 17' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rhian Brewster 59'
  • yellowcard Lewis Travis 59'
  • goal Bobby Clark 60'
  • yellowcard Oscar Fraulo 76'
  • yellowcard Lars-Jorgen Salvesen 76'
  • yellowcard Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 76'
  • yellowcard Callum Elder 89'
Championship
Sep 30, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Sonny Bradley 22' yellowcard
  • Eiran Cashin 39' goal
  • Joe Wildsmith 64' yellowcard
  • goal Alfie May 65'
  • goal Karoy Anderson 80'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Gillesphey 82'
  • yellowcard Chuks Aneke 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Valley
  • Kayne Ramsay 70' yellowcard
  • Daniel Kanu 82' yellowcard
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 31'
  • yellowcard Ebou Adams 41'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 51'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 68'
  • yellowcard Josh Vickers 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Conor Hourihane 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • David McGoldrick 9' goal
  • Eiran Cashin 69' goal
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Valley
  • Corey Taylor 62' goal
  • Steven Sessegnon 73' yellowcard
  • Albie Morgan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 51'