Aug 4, 2026 7.30pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT AESSEAL New York Stadium

Ossama Ashley 65'
Ossama Ashley 84'

Sammie Szmodics 9'
Bobby Clark 83'
Owen Eames 87'

Rotherham United vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions

W
L
W
D
D
W

Club Friendlies 3

W
L
W
D
D
W

Last game

Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm

Darlington 0 - 2 Rotherham

Derby County

All competitions

L
W
D
W
L
W

Club Friendlies 3

L
W
D
W

Last game

Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm

Burton Albion 1 - 0 Derby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Rotherham United 31.29%

Draw 27.45%

Derby County 41.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score:

49.9%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 28.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 46.17%

Under 2.5 53.83%

Over 3.5 25.17%

Under 3.5 74.83%

Over 4.5 13.65%

Under 4.5 86.35%

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 23.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Draw 43.22%

Derby County 32.87%

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 38.59% ▼ (-0.11)

No Goal 9.05%

Derby County 52.36% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 59.36% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 8 11.42%

Under 8 29.22% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 9 47.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Equal 9 11.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 9 40.65% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 10.5 36.42% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 10.5 63.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 30.37%

Under 1.5 69.63%

Over 2.5 10.9% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 89.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 97.03% ▲ (+0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 71.89%

Under 0.5 28.11%

Over 1.5 38.6% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 61.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 15.38%

Under 2.5 84.62%

Over 3.5 5.78%

Under 3.5 94.22%

Score analysis

Rotherham United 31.29%

Draw 27.45%

Derby County 41.25%

Rotherham United

1-0 @ 8.96%

2-1 @ 7.2%

2-0 @ 5.14%

3-1 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 2.09%

Other @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 31.29%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.38%

0-0 @ 9.05%

2-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.11%

Total : 27.45%

Derby County

0-1 @ 10.86%

1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 7.44%

1-3 @ 3.56%

0-3 @ 3.22%

2-3 @ 2.02%

Other @ 5.67%

Total : 41.25%

Head to Head

Feb 3, 2021 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT AESSEAL New York Stadium

Ben Wiles 58'
Michael Ihiekwe 76'
Michael Smith 81'
Matt Crooks 83'
Ryan Giles 88'

Graeme Shinnie 59'
Max Bird 65'
Louie Sibley 90'+5'

Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Pride Park Stadium

Lee Buchanan 28'
Krystian Bielik 38'

Ben Wiles 40'
Jamie Lindsay 86'

Mar 30, 2019 3.00pm

6

1

HT : 3 0

FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)

Martyn Waghorn 13'
Bradley Johnson 39'
Martyn Waghorn 42'
Mason Mount 48'
Duane Homes 62'
Martyn Waghorn 71'

Richard Wood 53'
Matt Crooks 92'

Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT AESSEAL New York Stadium (Rotherham, South Yorkshire)

Richard Wood 48'
Kyle Vassell 59'
Ryan Manning 63'
Joe Mattock 67'
Jon Taylor 90'

Martyn Waghorn 58'
Tom Lawrence 58'
Mason Mount 60'
Richard Keogh 63'
Bradley Johnson 87'

May 7, 2017 12.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Lee Frecklington 66'

Tom Ince 84'

Nov 19, 2016 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Tom Ince 15'
Darren Bent 19'
Tom Ince 63'

Tom Adeyemi 55'
Peter Odemwingie 79'

Form Data

Darlington 0 - 2 Rotherham

Rotherham 0 - 2 Sheff Utd

Alfreton 0 - 1 Rotherham

Matlock Town 1 - 1 Rotherham

AFC Emley 1 - 1 Rotherham

Parkgate 0 - 1 Rotherham

Burton Albion 1 - 0 Derby

Mansfield 1 - 3 Derby

Derby 0 - 0 Valencia

Alfreton 0 - 2 Derby

Derby 1 - 2 Sheff Utd

QPR 2 - 3 Derby