Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2026 7.30pm
AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham United vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
Darlington 0 - 2 Rotherham

Derby County

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Derby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 31.29% and a draw has a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 1-0 (8.96%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.38%).

Result

Rotherham United 31.29% (+0.79)
Draw 27.45% (+1.29)
Derby County 41.25% (-2.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.9% (-0.96)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.13% (-1.74)
Under 1.5 28.87% (+1.74)
Over 2.5 46.17% (-2.72)
Under 2.5 53.83% (+2.72)
Over 3.5 25.17% (-1.89)
Under 3.5 74.83% (+1.90)
Over 4.5 13.65% (-1.44)
Under 4.5 86.35% (+1.44)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 23.9% (+0.76)
Draw 43.22% (+0.11)
Derby County 32.87% (-0.89)

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 38.7% (-0.75)
No Goal 9.05% (+0.95)
Derby County 52.25% (-0.19)

Corners

Over 8 59.33% (+0.20)
Equal 8 11.42% (+0.09)
Under 8 29.25% (-0.29)
Over 9 47.54% (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.10)
Under 9 40.67% (-0.20)
Over 10.5 36.4% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 63.6% (+0.03)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 30.37% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 69.63% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 10.89% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 89.11% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.98% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.02% (+0.10)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 71.89% (-1.79)
Under 0.5 28.11% (+1.79)
Over 1.5 38.61% (-2.36)
Under 1.5 61.39% (+2.36)
Over 2.5 15.38% (-2.18)
Under 2.5 84.62% (+2.19)
Over 3.5 5.78% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 94.22% (+0.82)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 31.28%
Draw 27.46%
Derby County 41.26%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 8.96% (+0.67)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.14% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 2.84% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87% (-0.09)
Total : 31.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.49)
0-0 @ 9.05% (+0.95)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 27.46%
Derby County
0-1 @ 10.86% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.36)
0-2 @ 7.44% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.45)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.39)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.46)
Other @ 5.67% (-0.80)
Total : 41.26%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2021 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Ben Wiles 58' yellowcard
  • Michael Ihiekwe 76' goal
  • Michael Smith 81' goal
  • Matt Crooks 83' yellowcard
  • Ryan Giles 88' goal
  • yellowcard Graeme Shinnie 59'
  • yellowcard Max Bird 65'
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Lee Buchanan 28' yellowcard
  • Krystian Bielik 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Wiles 40'
  • goal Jamie Lindsay 86'
Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 30, 2019 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
  • Martyn Waghorn 13' goal
  • Bradley Johnson 39' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 42' goal
  • Mason Mount 48' goal
  • Duane Homes 62' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 71' goal
  • goal Richard Wood 53'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 92'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium (Rotherham, South Yorkshire)
  • Richard Wood 48' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 59' yellowcard
  • Ryan Manning 63' goal
  • Joe Mattock 67' yellowcard
  • Jon Taylor 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 58'
  • redcard Tom Lawrence 58'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 60'
  • yellowcard Richard Keogh 63'
  • yellowcard Bradley Johnson 87'
Championship
May 7, 2017 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Frecklington 66' goal
  • goal Tom Ince 84'
Championship
Nov 19, 2016 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Tom Ince 15' goal
  • Darren Bent 19' goal
  • Tom Ince 63' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Adeyemi 55'
  • yellowcard Peter Odemwingie 79'