Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 20, 2026 8.00pm
Anfield

Liverpool vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico

Villarreal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 27.43% and a draw has a probability of 23.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.27%).

Result

Liverpool 49.47%
Draw 23.07%
Villarreal 27.43%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.27%
Under 1.5 18.73%
Over 2.5 60.08%
Under 2.5 39.92%
Over 3.5 37.09%
Under 3.5 62.87%
Over 4.5 22.65%
Under 4.5 77.35%

First Half Winner

Liverpool 38.18%
Draw 36.7%
Villarreal 25.13%

Team To Score First

Liverpool 57.84%
No Goal 4.85%
Villarreal 37.31%

Corners

Over 8 61.57%
Equal 8 10.47%
Under 8 27.96%
Over 9 50.59%
Equal 9 10.98%
Under 9 38.43%
Over 10.5 39.96%
Under 10.5 60.04%

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 51.83%
Under 1.5 48.17%
Over 2.5 26.33%
Under 2.5 73.67%
Over 3.5 11.2%
Under 3.5 88.8%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 64.21%
Under 0.5 35.79%
Over 1.5 33.11%
Under 1.5 66.89%
Over 2.5 12.97%
Under 2.5 87.03%
Over 3.5 4.26%
Under 3.5 95.74%

Score analysis

Liverpool 49.47%
Draw 23.07%
Villarreal 27.43%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 5.54%
3-0 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 3.49%
Other @ 10.89%
Total : 49.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.07%
Villarreal
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.58%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 27.43%

Head to Head

Champions League
May 3, 2022 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Boulaye Dia 3' goal
  • Francis Coquelin 41' goal
  • Etienne Capoue 63' yellowcard
  • Giovani Lo Celso 81' yellowcard
  • Pau Torres 85' yellowcard
  • Etienne Capoue 86' redcard
  • goal Fabinho 62'
  • goal Luis Diaz 67'
  • goal Sadio Mane 74'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 77'
Champions League
Apr 27, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Virgil van Dijk 32' yellowcard
  • Pervis Estupinan 53' goal
  • Sadio Mane 55' goal
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 47'
  • yellowcard Giovani Lo Celso 62'
Europa League
May 5, 2016 8.05pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruno Soriano 7' goal
  • Nathaniel Clyne 35' yellowcard
  • Daniel Sturridge 63' goal
  • Adam Lallana 81' goal
  • yellowcard Victor Ruiz 30'
  • yellowcard Roberto Soldado 40'
  • redcard Victor Ruiz 71'
  • yellowcard Denis Suarez 94'
Europa League
Apr 28, 2016 8.05pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jaume Costa 60' yellowcard
  • Adrian Lopez 92' goal