La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2026 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Carlos Dotor 12' goal
  • José Salinas 34' yellowcard
  • David Larrubia 68' yellowcard
  • Einar Galilea 70' yellowcard
  • Ramón Enríquez 79' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Herrero  85' yellowcard
  • goal Alberto Moleiro 40'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 42'
  • goal Pape Gueye 45'+2'
  • goal Pape Gueye 86'

Malaga vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 1.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 1 Malaga
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Carlos Dotor

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 8.00pm
Villarreal 1 - 2 Betis
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Pape Gueye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Malaga 43.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 27.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Villarreal 29.58% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.73% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.84% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 26.16% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 50.07% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 49.93% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 28.45% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 71.55% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.76% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 84.24% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Malaga 35.38%
Draw 41.44%
Villarreal 23.17%

Team To Score First

Malaga 51.8% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Villarreal 40.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.08%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 30.35%
Over 9 46.27%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 41.92%
Over 10.5 35.21%
Under 10.5 64.79%

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 42.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 57.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 81.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.32%
Under 3.5 93.68%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 65.34% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 34.66% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 31.46% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 68.54% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 11.6% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 88.4% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.49% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Malaga 43.09%
Draw 27.28%
Villarreal 29.58%
Malaga
1-0 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.02%
Total : 43.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 27.28%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 29.58%

Head to Head

La Liga
Apr 1, 2018 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Chory Castro 37' goal
  • Mehdi Lacen 66' yellowcard
  • Miguel Torres 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaume Costa 20'
  • yellowcard Sergio Asenjo 36'
  • yellowcard Roberto Soriano 47'
La Liga
Nov 5, 2017 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
  • Chuca 45' yellowcard
  • Nicola Sansone 68' goal
  • Nicola Sansone 76' goal
  • Jaume Costa 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chory Castro 32'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Penaranda 38'
  • yellowcard Adrian 60'
  • yellowcard Recio 83'
La Liga
Feb 12, 2017 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Bruno Soriano 62' goal
  • Roberto Soriano 71' redcard
  • goal Charles 14'
  • yellowcard Charles 55'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Camacho 55'
  • yellowcard Keko 58'
  • yellowcard Martin Demichelis 61'
  • yellowcard Duda 81'
La Liga
Sep 10, 2016 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Weligton 39' yellowcard
  • Recio 66' yellowcard
  • goal Jaume Costa 33'
  • goal Nicola Sansone 44'
  • yellowcard Jaume Costa 47'
La Liga
Feb 13, 2016 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roberto Soldado 18' goal
  • Manuel Trigueros 77' yellowcard
  • Cedric Bakambu 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul Albentosa 34'
La Liga
Sep 23, 2015 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Recio 39' yellowcard
  • Arthur Boka 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan dos Santos 17'
  • yellowcard Eric Bailly 67'
  • goal Fernando Tissone 71' (OG)
  • yellowcard Dennis Suarez 79'