La Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2026 8.30pm
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Mariano Díaz

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 4.00pm
Atletico 2 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Pape Gueye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Alaves has a probability of 32.62% and a draw has a probability of 27.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Alaves win is 1-0 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.94%).

Result

Alaves 32.62% (+0.06)
Draw 27.18% (+0.02)
Villarreal 40.2% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.13% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.87% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.96% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.04% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.22%
Under 3.5 73.78%
Over 4.5 13.83% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.17% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Alaves 26.11% (+0.06)
Draw 48.02%
Villarreal 25.87% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Alaves 44.82% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.7% (-0.01)
Villarreal 47.48% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.98% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 30.93% (+0.04)
Over 9 44.72% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.26%
Under 9 43.02% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 33.38% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 66.62% (+0.03)

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 32.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.58% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.3%
Under 2.5 88.7%
Over 3.5 3.24%
Under 3.5 96.76%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 72.4% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.6% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 38.66% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.34% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 15.59% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 84.41% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.29%
Under 3.5 94.71%

Score analysis

Alaves 32.61%
Draw 27.17%
Villarreal 40.21%
Alaves
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.73% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 32.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.17%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.73% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 40.21%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Rafa Marín 40' goal
  • Jon Guridi 75' yellowcard
  • Ville Koski 80' yellowcard
  • Ville Koski 81' yellowcard
  • Abde Rebbach 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ballestero 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 59'
  • yellowcard Alberto Moleiro 59'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 67'
  • yellowcard Alex Freeman 83'
  • yellowcard Tani Oluwaseyi 83'
  • goal Nicolas Pépé 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 10, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2025 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Manu Sanchez 11' goal
  • Antonio Sivera 58' redcard
  • Antonio Blanco 77' yellowcard
  • Adrian Rodriguez Gimenez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 70'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Ilias Akhomach 38' goal
  • Sergi Cardona 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 81' goal
  • Santi Comesana 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 62'
  • yellowcard Carlos Martin 74'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 83'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Samu Omorodion 25' goal
  • Luis Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Cuenca 42'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 44'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 71'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Alfonso Pedraza 9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 23' yellowcard
  • Kiko Femenia 35' yellowcard
  • Santi Comesana 58' yellowcard
  • Gerard Moreno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 14'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sivera 33'
  • yellowcard Abdel Abqar 36'
  • goal Samu Omorodion 48'