La Liga Gameweek 3
Alaves
Aug 28, 2026 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal
  • Lucas Boyé 31' goal
  • Quique Sánchez Flores 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Abde Rebbach 48' yellowcard
  • Mariano Díaz 89' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sivera  90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Pépé 86'
  • yellowcard Renato Veiga 90'+2'

Alaves vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Alaves
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Mariano Díaz

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 4.00pm
Atletico 2 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Pape Gueye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Alaves 32.43% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 27.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Villarreal 40.42% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.98% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 26.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 73.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.15% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Alaves 26.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 48.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Villarreal 25.92% ▲ (+0.07)

Team To Score First

Alaves 44.76% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 7.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Villarreal 47.54% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 56.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 8 12.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 30.96% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 44.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.26%
Under 9 43.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 10.5 33.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 66.64% ▲ (+0.04)

Alaves Goals

Over 1.5 32.28% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 67.72% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 11.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 88.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.78% ▲ (+0.05)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 72.52% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 38.82% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 61.18% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 15.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Alaves 32.44%
Draw 27.16%
Villarreal 40.42%
Alaves
1-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 32.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.16%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 40.42%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 28
Alaves
Mar 13, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal
  • Rafa Marín 40' goal
  • Jon Guridi 75' yellowcard
  • Ville Koski 80' yellowcard
  • Ville Koski 81' yellowcard
  • Abde Rebbach 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Carlos Ballestero 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 59'
  • yellowcard Alberto Moleiro 59'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 67'
  • yellowcard Alex Freeman 83'
  • yellowcard Tani Oluwaseyi 83'
  • goal Nicolas Pépé 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 19
Villarreal
Jan 10, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio de la Cerámica
Alaves
La Liga Gameweek 27
Alaves
Mar 8, 2025 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal
  • Manu Sanchez 11' goal
  • Antonio Sivera 58' redcard
  • Antonio Blanco 77' yellowcard
  • Adrian Rodriguez Gimenez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diarra 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Yeremy Pino 70'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Villarreal
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves
  • Ilias Akhomach 38' goal
  • Sergi Cardona 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 81' goal
  • Santi Comesana 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 62'
  • yellowcard Carlos Martin 74'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 83'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Alaves
Feb 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Villarreal
  • Samu Omorodion 25' goal
  • Luis Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Cuenca 42'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 44'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 71'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Villarreal
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Alaves
  • Alfonso Pedraza 9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 23' yellowcard
  • Kiko Femenia 35' yellowcard
  • Santi Comesana 58' yellowcard
  • Gerard Moreno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 14'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sivera 33'
  • yellowcard Abdel Abqar 36'
  • goal Samu Omorodion 48'

Form Data

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Alaves
Alaves 3 - 0 Getafe
Racing FC 1 - 1 Alaves
Racing 1 - 1 Alaves
Castellon 0 - 0 Alaves
Girona 0 - 1 Alaves
Atletico 2 - 2 Villarreal
Racing 2 - 2 Villarreal
Galatasaray 1 - 2 Villarreal
Villarreal 1 - 0 Levante
Lens 3 - 1 Villarreal
PSV 1 - 3 Villarreal