La Liga Gameweek 2
Rayo Vallecano
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Alaves
  • Sergio Camello 48' goal
  • Sergio Camello 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 45'+2'
  • goal Mariano Díaz 84'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Valentini 90'+2'

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Sevilla 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Álvaro García

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 6.30pm
Alaves 3 - 0 Getafe
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Mariano Díaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.15%. A draw had a probability of 29.18% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 26.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 44.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 29.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Alaves 26.67% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 40.56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.11%
Under 3.5 79.89%
Over 4.5 10.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.81% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 30.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 47.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Alaves 22.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 48.42% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 10.91%
Alaves 40.67% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 64.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.62%
Under 8 25.32%
Over 9 52.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.36%
Under 9 35.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 41.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 58.43% ▼ (-0.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 37.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 62.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 14.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.67% ▲ (+0.02)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 58.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 41.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 24.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 75.47% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.07% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 44.14%
Draw 29.18%
Alaves 26.68%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 44.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.18%
Alaves
0-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.68%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 38
Alaves
May 23, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano
  • Toni Martínez 13' goal
  • Carlos Protesoni 33' yellowcard
  • Denis Suárez 74' yellowcard
  • Denis Suárez 76' yellowcard
  • Ander Guevara 84' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Diabaté 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 38'
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 39'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 46'
  • yellowcard Pathé Ciss 61'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 61'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 62'
  • goal Sergio Camello 73'
  • yellowcard Andrei Rațiu 88'
  • goal Randy Nteka 90'
Copa del Rey
Alaves
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano
  • Toni Martinez 49' goal
  • Toni Martínez 49' goal
  • Carlos Vicente 64' yellowcard
  • Carles Alena 64' yellowcard
  • Jon Guridi 64' yellowcard
  • Carles Aleñá 64' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 85' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 89' goal
  • Jonny Castro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jonny Otto 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 40'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Garcia 40'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarría 40'
  • yellowcard Álvaro García 40'
  • yellowcard Isi 61'
  • yellowcard Isi Palazón 61'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 62'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Alemao 83'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 83'
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Alaves
La Liga Gameweek 29
Alaves
Mar 29, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano
  • Pau Cabanes De La Torre 16' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 77' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 80' yellowcard
  • goal Pathe Ciss 2'
  • yellowcard Pelayo Fernandez Balboa 8'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 36'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 42'
  • goal Pedro Diaz 58'
  • yellowcard Augusto Batalla 62'
  • yellowcard Aridane Hernandez 78'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 26, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Alaves
  • Abdul Mumin 22' redcard
  • Unai Lopez 49' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sivera 80' goal
  • Pep Chavarria 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 50'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 67'
  • yellowcard Jon Guridi 77'
  • yellowcard Joan Jordan 88'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Alaves
Mar 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano
  • Abdel Abqar 28' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 44' goal
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isi 13'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 30'

Form Data

Sevilla 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Ipswich 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Charleroi 2 - 3 Rayo Vallecano
Feyenoord 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Hearts 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Alaves 3 - 0 Getafe
Racing FC 1 - 1 Alaves
Racing 1 - 1 Alaves
Castellon 0 - 0 Alaves
Girona 0 - 1 Alaves
Alaves 1 - 1 Eibar