La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 8.30pm
Sevilla 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 6.30pm
Alaves 3 - 0 Getafe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw has a probability of 29.27% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.95%) , while for a Alaves win it is 0-1 (9.28%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 44.08% (+0.04)
Draw 29.27%
Alaves 26.65% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.3% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.19%
Under 1.5 33.81%
Over 2.5 40.48% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.52% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.94% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.17% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.83% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 30.16%
Draw 47.46%
Alaves 22.38%

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 48.33% (-0.03)
No Goal 10.97% (+0.05)
Alaves 40.7% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.93%
Equal 8 10.64%
Under 8 25.42%
Over 9 52.56%
Equal 9 11.37%
Under 9 36.07%
Over 10.5 41.42%
Under 10.5 58.58%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 37.35%
Under 1.5 62.65%
Over 2.5 14.12%
Under 2.5 85.88%
Over 3.5 4.32%
Under 3.5 95.68%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 58.91% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 41.09% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 24.51% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 75.49% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.88% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.12% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.93% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.07% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 44.09%
Draw 29.28%
Alaves 26.65%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.58% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 8.56% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 4.18% (+0.01)
Total : 44.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 10.97% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 29.28%
Alaves
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.65%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 38
May 23, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Toni Martínez 13' goal
  • Carlos Protesoni 33' yellowcard
  • Denis Suárez 74' yellowcard
  • Denis Suárez 76' yellowcard
  • Ander Guevara 84' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Diabaté 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 38'
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 39'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 46'
  • yellowcard Pathé Ciss 61'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 61'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 62'
  • goal Sergio Camello 73'
  • yellowcard Andrei Rațiu 88'
  • goal Randy Nteka 90'
Copa del Rey
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Toni Martinez 49' goal
  • Toni Martínez 49' goal
  • Carlos Vicente 64' yellowcard
  • Carles Alena 64' yellowcard
  • Jon Guridi 64' yellowcard
  • Carles Aleñá 64' yellowcard
  • Antonio Blanco 85' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vicente 89' goal
  • Jonny Castro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jonny Otto 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarria 40'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Garcia 40'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarría 40'
  • yellowcard Álvaro García 40'
  • yellowcard Isi 61'
  • yellowcard Isi Palazón 61'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 62'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Alemao 83'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 83'
La Liga
Oct 26, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 29, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Pau Cabanes De La Torre 16' yellowcard
  • Santiago Mourino 77' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Tenaglia 80' yellowcard
  • goal Pathe Ciss 2'
  • yellowcard Pelayo Fernandez Balboa 8'
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 36'
  • yellowcard Oscar Valentin 42'
  • goal Pedro Diaz 58'
  • yellowcard Augusto Batalla 62'
  • yellowcard Aridane Hernandez 78'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Abdul Mumin 22' redcard
  • Unai Lopez 49' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sivera 80' goal
  • Pep Chavarria 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 50'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 67'
  • yellowcard Jon Guridi 77'
  • yellowcard Joan Jordan 88'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Abdel Abqar 28' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 44' goal
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isi 13'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 30'