Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Villarreal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.69%. A win for Villarreal has a probability of 23.13% and a draw has a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win is 1-2 (5.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.38%).

Result

Borussia Dortmund 54.69% (-0.04)
Draw 22.15% (-0.02)
Villarreal 23.13% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.38% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.84% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 21.16% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 56.41% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 43.59% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 33.99% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 66.01% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 21.07% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 78.93% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 39.03% (-0.08)
Draw 38.67% (+0.08)
Villarreal 22.3% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 57.23% (-0.03)
No Goal 5.36% (+0.04)
Villarreal 37.41% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.66%
Equal 8 11.48% (+0.01)
Under 8 32.86% (-0.01)
Over 9 44.18%
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.34%
Over 10.5 33.6%
Under 10.5 66.4%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 53.06% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 46.94% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 27.39% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 72.61% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 11.67% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 88.33% (+0.07)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 58.6% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 41.4% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 27.13% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.87% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 9.67% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.33% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.08% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.92% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 54.69%
Draw 22.15%
Villarreal 23.13%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 9.99% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.55% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.51% (-0.07)
Total : 54.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38%
0-0 @ 5.36% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 22.15%
Villarreal
1-2 @ 5.91% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.78% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.92% (-0.03)
Total : 23.13%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 25, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Serhou Guirassy 45'+2' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 54' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 58' goal
  • Karim Adeyemi 71' yellowcard
  • Daniel Svensson 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Foyth 50'
  • redcard Juan Foyth 52'
  • redcard Juan Foyth 53'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 6, 2024 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Karim Adeyemi 6' yellowcard
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 72' goal
  • Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar 83' yellowcard
  • Marcel Sabitzer 90'+17' goal
  • goal Ramon Terrats 20'
  • goal Denis Suarez 45'+9'
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 90'+15'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 22, 2022 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT CASHPOINT Arena
  • Niklas Sule 74' yellowcard
  • goal Gerard Moreno 45'+1'
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 68'