La Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2026 1.00pm
Abanca-Balaídos

Celta Vigo vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 7, 2026 6.00pm
Getafe 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Iago Aspas 

Malaga

All competitions
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 5.30pm
Malaga 0 - 0 Levante
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Chupe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Malaga has a probability of 35.51% and a draw has a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Malaga win is 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.92%).

Result

Celta Vigo 39.84%
Draw 24.69%
Malaga 35.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.19%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.42%
Under 1.5 21.58%
Over 2.5 56.94%
Under 2.5 43.06%
Over 3.5 34.45%
Under 3.5 65.55%
Over 4.5 20.23%
Under 4.5 79.77%

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 30.41%
Draw 43.87%
Malaga 25.71%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 49.65%
No Goal 6.14%
Malaga 44.21%

Corners

Over 8 54.57%
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 33.07%
Over 9 42.28%
Equal 9 12.29%
Under 9 45.43%
Over 10.5 31.15%
Under 10.5 68.85%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 42.08%
Under 1.5 57.92%
Over 2.5 18.75%
Under 2.5 81.25%
Over 3.5 6.73%
Under 3.5 93.27%

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5 70.54%
Under 0.5 29.46%
Over 1.5 39.13%
Under 1.5 60.87%
Over 2.5 16.79%
Under 2.5 83.21%
Over 3.5 6.3%
Under 3.5 93.7%

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 39.83%
Draw 24.69%
Malaga 35.52%
Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 3.24%
3-0 @ 2.96%
Other @ 6.47%
Total : 39.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.99%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.69%
Malaga
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 2.48%
Other @ 6.04%
Total : 35.52%

Head to Head

La Liga
Mar 18, 2018 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)
  • Iago Aspas 45' yellowcard
  • Hugo Mallo 57' yellowcard
  • Jonny 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Rosales 42'
  • yellowcard Miguel Torres 45'
La Liga
Oct 29, 2017 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)
  • Luis Hernandez 34' yellowcard
  • Adrian 45' goal
  • Chory Castro 62' yellowcard
  • Recio 82' goal
  • yellowcard Hugo Mallo 15'
  • goal Iago Aspas 76'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cabral 82'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 90'
La Liga
May 7, 2017 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Javier Ontiveros 26' goal
  • Recio 56' goal
  • Recio 81' yellowcard
  • Sandro Ramirez 92' goal
  • yellowcard Alvaro Lemos 14'
  • yellowcard Jozabed Sanchez 30'
  • yellowcard John Guidetti 80'
  • yellowcard Pape Cheikh 89'
La Liga
Jan 8, 2017 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Iago Aspas 7' goal
  • Daniel Wass 60' goal
  • Iago Aspas 73' goal
  • Sergio Gomez 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Fornals 29'
  • yellowcard Recio 49'
  • goal Daniel Wass 86' (OG)
  • yellowcard Juan Carlos 91'
La Liga
May 8, 2016 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nolito 31' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Ricca 26'
  • yellowcard Recio 45'
La Liga
Jan 2, 2016 9.05pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Charles 8' goal
  • Raul Albentosa 26' goal
  • Nordin Amrabat 30' yellowcard
  • Recio 67' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Camacho 83' yellowcard
  • Charles 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Cabral 25'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 38'
  • redcard Ruben Blanco 64'