La Liga
Gameweek
5
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogcel.png)
-
Yoel Lago
26'
-
Ferran Jutglà
41'
-
Einar Galilea
24'
-
Adrián Niño
83'
Celta Vigo vs Malaga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Ficonsport-372308-0040-6a89eeca1df11799190710.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-2 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result
Celta Vigo
40.12%
▲
(+0.28)
Draw
24.64%
▼
(-0.06)
Malaga
35.24%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
59.38%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.6%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
21.4%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 2.5
57.21%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 2.5
42.79%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 3.5
34.62%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
65.38%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
20.37%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
79.63%
▼
(-0.15)
First Half Winner
Celta Vigo
30.3%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
43.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Malaga
25.87%
▲
(+0.17)
Team To Score First
Celta Vigo
49.69%
▲
(+0.04)
No Goal
6.08%
▼
(-0.06)
Malaga
44.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Corners
Over 8
54.84%
▲
(+0.28)
Equal 8
12.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 8
32.84%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 9
42.56%
▲
(+0.29)
Equal 9
12.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
45.16%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 10.5
31.43%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 10.5
68.58%
▼
(-0.27)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 1.5
42.46%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 1.5
57.54%
▼
(-0.39)
Over 2.5
19.06%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 2.5
80.94%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 3.5
6.88%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
93.12%
▼
(-0.15)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5
70.42%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
29.58%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
39.03%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
60.97%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 2.5
16.71%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
83.29%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
6.24%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
93.76%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Celta Vigo
40.13%
Draw
24.64%
Malaga
35.25%
Celta Vigo
2-1
@
8.84%
▲
(+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 40.13%
1-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.16)
Total : 40.13%
Draw
1-1
@
10.89%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.64%
0-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.64%
Malaga
1-2
@
8.26%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 35.25%
0-1 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 35.25%
Head to Head
La Liga
-
Iago Aspas
45'
-
Hugo Mallo
57'
-
Jonny
61'
-
Roberto Rosales
42'
-
Miguel Torres
45'
La Liga
-
Luis Hernandez
34'
-
Adrian
45'
-
Chory Castro
62'
-
Recio
82'
-
Hugo Mallo
15'
-
Iago Aspas
76'
-
Gustavo Cabral
82'
-
Iago Aspas
90'
La Liga
-
Javier Ontiveros
26'
-
Recio
56'
-
Recio
81'
-
Sandro Ramirez
92'
-
Alvaro Lemos
14'
-
Jozabed Sanchez
30'
-
John Guidetti
80'
-
Pape Cheikh
89'
La Liga
-
Iago Aspas
7'
-
Daniel Wass
60'
-
Iago Aspas
73'
-
Sergio Gomez
85'
-
Pablo Fornals
29'
-
Recio
49'
-
Daniel Wass
86'
(OG)
-
Juan Carlos
91'
La Liga
-
Nolito
31'
-
Federico Ricca
26'
-
Recio
45'
La Liga
-
Charles
8'
-
Raul Albentosa
26'
-
Nordin Amrabat
30'
-
Recio
67'
-
Ignacio Camacho
83'
-
Charles
88'
-
Gustavo Cabral
25'
-
Pablo Hernandez
38'
-
Ruben Blanco
64'