La Liga Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
Aug 30, 2026 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Abanca-Balaídos
Athletic Bilbao
  • goal Álex Berenguer 20'
  • goal Robert Navarro 22'
  • yellowcard Yuri Berchiche 48'
  • yellowcard Robert Navarro 61'
  • yellowcard Beñat Gerenabarrena 71'

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 7.30pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Iago Aspas 

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 8.00pm
Barcelona 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Aitor Paredes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 37.51% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 27.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 35.43% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.83% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.77% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 26.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 49.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 50.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 28.19% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 71.81% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 15.24% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 84.76% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 28.2% ▲ (+0.33)
Draw 42.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Athletic Bilbao 29.21% ▼ (-0.37)

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 45.85% ▲ (+0.35)
No Goal 7.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 46.22% ▼ (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 46.52% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 8 12.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 41.31% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 9 35.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 53.48% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 25.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 10.5 74.57% ▲ (+0.07)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 37.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 62.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 14.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 4.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 68.96% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 31.04% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 35.97% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 64.03% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 14.09% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 85.91% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 4.7% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.3% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 37.51%
Draw 27.03%
Athletic Bilbao 35.43%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.18% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 37.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 27.03%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.01% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 35.43%

Head to Head

La Liga
Athletic Bilbao
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT San Mamés Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Robert Navarro 45' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 46' yellowcard
  • Iñaki Williams 52' goal
  • Alejandro Rego 71' yellowcard
  • Maroan Sannadi 82' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 82' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 83' yellowcard
  • Urko Izeta 86' yellowcard
  • goal Williot Swedberg 4'
  • yellowcard Óscar Mingueza 46'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 58'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 58'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 59'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 59'
  • yellowcard Hugo Álvarez 74'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 90'+2'
La Liga
Celta Vigo
Dec 14, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Athletic Bilbao
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 44' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 45' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 48' goal
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 55' goal
  • Iago Aspas 77' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 87'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 88'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Celta Vigo
Jan 19, 2025 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao
  • Ilaix Moriba 60' yellowcard
  • Hugo Alvarez 74' goal
  • Oscar Mingueza 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 62'
  • goal Daniel Vivian 71'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Gorka Guruzeta 4' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 20' yellowcard
  • Aitor Paredes 30' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 39' goal
  • Benat Prados 52' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 80' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Hugo Sotelo 50'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 86'
La Liga Gameweek 36
Celta Vigo
May 15, 2024 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao
  • Williot Swedberg 68' goal
  • Hugo Alvarez 71' goal
  • Carl Starfelt 80' yellowcard
  • Franco Cervi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 23'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
Nov 10, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Oihan Sancet 37' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 45'+5' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 56' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+8' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 39'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 41'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 66'
  • yellowcard Vicente Guaita 90'+5'

Form Data

Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna
Valencia 0 - 0 Celta Vigo
Napoli 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Sassuolo 1 - 4 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 0 - 0 Viseu
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Sporting Gijon
Barcelona 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 3 Sevilla
Atalanta 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Marseille 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Amorebieta 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Burgos 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao