La Liga Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
Aug 30, 2026 8.30pm
Abanca-Balaídos
Athletic Bilbao

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 7.30pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Iago Aspas 

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 8.00pm
Barcelona 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Aitor Paredes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 35.68% and a draw has a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 (8.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).

Result

Celta Vigo 37.31% ▲ (+0.86)
Draw 27.05% ▲ (+0.70)
Athletic Bilbao 35.68% ▼ (-1.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.88% ▼ (-1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.83% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 1.5 26.17% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 2.5 49.72% ▼ (-1.89)
Under 2.5 50.28% ▲ (+1.89)
Over 3.5 28.31% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 3.5 71.69% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 4.5 15.34% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 4.5 84.66% ▲ (+0.71)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 27.88% ▲ (+2.60)
Draw 42.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Athletic Bilbao 29.58% ▼ (-2.65)

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 45.51% ▲ (+4.32)
No Goal 7.94% ▲ (+0.79)
Athletic Bilbao 46.55% ▼ (-5.11)

Corners

Over 8 46.66% ▲ (+4.86)
Equal 8 12.19% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 8 41.15% ▼ (-5.08)
Over 9 35.27% ▲ (+4.22)
Equal 9 11.38% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 9 53.34% ▼ (-4.86)
Over 10.5 25.5% ▲ (+3.34)
Under 10.5 74.5% ▼ (-3.35)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 37.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 62.8% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 14.81% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 85.19% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 4.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.16% ▼ (-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 69.14% ▼ (-1.68)
Under 0.5 30.86% ▲ (+1.68)
Over 1.5 36.22% ▼ (-1.83)
Under 1.5 63.78% ▲ (+1.83)
Over 2.5 14.27% ▼ (-1.26)
Under 2.5 85.73% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 3.5 4.77% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 3.5 95.23% ▲ (+0.44)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 37.31%
Draw 27.05%
Athletic Bilbao 35.68%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.75)
2-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 37.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.79)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 27.05%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 8.81% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.36)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.42)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.46)
Total : 35.68%

Head to Head

La Liga
Athletic Bilbao
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT San Mamés Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Robert Navarro 45' yellowcard
  • Robert Navarro 46' yellowcard
  • Iñaki Williams 52' goal
  • Alejandro Rego 71' yellowcard
  • Maroan Sannadi 82' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 82' yellowcard
  • Nico Serrano 83' yellowcard
  • Urko Izeta 86' yellowcard
  • goal Williot Swedberg 4'
  • yellowcard Óscar Mingueza 46'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 58'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 58'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 59'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 59'
  • yellowcard Hugo Álvarez 74'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 90'+2'
La Liga
Celta Vigo
Dec 14, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Athletic Bilbao
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 44' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutlga Blanc 45' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 48' goal
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 55' goal
  • Iago Aspas 77' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Inaki Williams 66'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 87'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vivian 88'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Celta Vigo
Jan 19, 2025 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao
  • Ilaix Moriba 60' yellowcard
  • Hugo Alvarez 74' goal
  • Oscar Mingueza 90'+6' redcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 62'
  • goal Daniel Vivian 71'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
Sep 22, 2024 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Gorka Guruzeta 4' goal
  • Alex Berenguer 20' yellowcard
  • Aitor Paredes 30' yellowcard
  • Gorka Guruzeta 39' goal
  • Benat Prados 52' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 80' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Hugo Sotelo 50'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 86'
La Liga Gameweek 36
Celta Vigo
May 15, 2024 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Athletic Bilbao
  • Williot Swedberg 68' goal
  • Hugo Alvarez 71' goal
  • Carl Starfelt 80' yellowcard
  • Franco Cervi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Berenguer 23'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Athletic Bilbao
Nov 10, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 2
FT San Mames Barria
Celta Vigo
  • Oihan Sancet 37' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 45'+5' goal
  • Gorka Guruzeta 52' goal
  • Unai Simon 56' yellowcard
  • Raul Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 90'+8' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 25'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 39'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 41'
  • goal Jorgen Strand Larsen 66'
  • yellowcard Vicente Guaita 90'+5'

Form Data

Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna
Valencia 0 - 0 Celta Vigo
Napoli 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Sassuolo 1 - 4 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 0 - 0 Viseu
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 Sporting Gijon
Barcelona 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 3 Sevilla
Atalanta 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Marseille 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Amorebieta 0 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Burgos 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao