La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 17, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal vs Elche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Pape Gueye

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 1.00pm
Elche 0 - 0 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Fer Niño

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw has a probability of 22.87% and a win for Elche has a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Elche win it is 0-1 (4.95%).

Result

Villarreal 60.3% ▲ (+1.42)
Draw 22.87% ▼ (-0.90)
Elche 16.82% ▼ (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.01% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.48% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 23.52% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 53.69% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 2.5 46.31% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 31.5% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 3.5 68.5% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 4.5 19.23% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 4.5 80.77% ▼ (-0.53)

First Half Winner

Villarreal 45.62% ▲ (+1.73)
Draw 39.4% ▼ (-1.17)
Elche 14.97% ▼ (-0.59)

Team To Score First

Villarreal 67.4% ▲ (+0.21)
No Goal 6.56% ▼ (-0.25)
Elche 26.04% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 60.87% ▼ (-0.54)
Equal 8 11.57% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 8 27.56% ▲ (+0.71)
Over 9 48.76% ▼ (-0.28)
Equal 9 12.11% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 9 39.13% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 10.5 37.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 62.8% ▼ (-0.03)

Villarreal Goals

Over 1.5 55.79% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 1.5 44.21% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 2.5 28.83% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 2.5 71.17% ▼ (-0.99)
Over 3.5 11.9% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 3.5 88.1% ▼ (-0.56)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 52.66% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 0.5 47.34% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 1.5 21.29% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 1.5 78.71% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 2.5 6.05% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 93.95% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 3.5 1.54% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 98.46% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Villarreal 60.29%
Draw 22.86%
Elche 16.81%
Villarreal
1-0 @ 11.97% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 10.15% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.42% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 11.8% ▲ (+0.69)
Total : 60.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 22.86%
Elche
0-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.14)
1-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.20)
0-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 16.81%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2026 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Tajon Buchanan 31' goal
  • Santiago Mouriño 41' goal
  • Alfon González 65' yellowcard
  • Gerard Moreno 65' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 75' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 75' yellowcard
  • Renato Veiga 75' yellowcard
  • Renato Veiga 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martim Neto 59'
  • yellowcard Josan 68'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Villar 68'
  • yellowcard Federico Redondo 68'
  • yellowcard André Silva 77'
  • goal André Silva 82'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2026 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Martim Neto 30' goal
  • Bambo Diaby 61' yellowcard
  • Grady Diangana 71' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mendoza 79' yellowcard
  • Josan 79' yellowcard
  • Adam Boayar 79' yellowcard
  • goal Alberto Moleiro 7'
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 13'
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 67'
  • yellowcard Sergi Cardona 68'
  • yellowcard Carlos Macià 76'
  • yellowcard Tani Oluwaseyi 76'
  • yellowcard Juan Foyth 80'
  • goal Alfonso Pedraza 83'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Pere Milla 3' goal
  • Pere Milla 45'+3' goal
  • Pere Milla 52' goal
  • goal Gerard Moreno 22'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Gerard Moreno 26' goal
  • Giovani Lo Celso 36' goal
  • Francis Coquelin 89' goal
  • Jose Luis Morales 90'+4' goal
La Liga Gameweek 21
Jan 16, 2022 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gonzalo 10' yellowcard
  • Lucas Boye 78' goal
  • Johan Mojica 87' yellowcard
  • Diego Gonzalez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Pere Milla 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 81'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Vicente Iborra 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2021 9.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Yeremi Pino 5' goal
  • Alfonso Pedraza 27' yellowcard
  • Manu Trigueros 39' goal
  • Arnaut Danjuma 60' goal
  • Alberto Moreno 90'+4' goal
  • goal Johan Mojica 19'
  • yellowcard Fidel 40'
  • yellowcard Diego Gonzalez 73'