La Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2026 1.00pm
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Sep 18, 2026 8.00pm
Espanyol 1 - 3 Elche
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Fer Niño

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 5.30pm
Celta Vigo 5 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Pablo Durán

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Elche has a probability of 31.08% and a draw has a probability of 29.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Elche win is 1-0 (10.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.07%).

Result

Elche 31.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 29.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Celta Vigo 39.43% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.68% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 32.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 42.16% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 57.84% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 22.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 77.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.5%
Under 4.5 88.5%

First Half Winner

Elche 27.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 41.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Celta Vigo 31.03% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Elche 42.04% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 10.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Celta Vigo 47.63% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 42.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.98% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 45.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 31.93%
Equal 9 10.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 57.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 22.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 77.13% ▲ (+0.01)

Elche Goals

Over 1.5 28.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 71.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.8%
Under 3.5 97.2%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 69.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 35.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.68% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Elche 31.08%
Draw 29.49%
Celta Vigo 39.43%
Elche
1-0 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.07% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 29.49%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 11.91%
1-2 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 39.43%

Head to Head

La Liga
May 3, 2026 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Hugo Álvarez 14' goal
  • Iago Aspas 30' goal
  • Manu Fernández 46' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 63' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 70' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 71' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 71' yellowcard
  • Óscar Mingueza 78' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 85' goal
  • yellowcard Víctor Chust 58'
  • yellowcard Martim Neto 58'
  • yellowcard Héctor Fort 69'
  • yellowcard Josan 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Cepeda 77'
  • yellowcard André Silva 82'
La Liga
Sep 28, 2025 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2023 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Joseph Aidoo 90' goal
La Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 6, 2023 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • goal Iago Aspas 5'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Denis Suarez 9' goal
  • Javi Galan 56' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 81'
  • yellowcard Tete Morente 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josan 35' yellowcard
  • Dario Benedetto 49' goal
  • Antonio Barragan 58' yellowcard
  • Omar Mascarell 89' yellowcard
  • Kiko Casilla 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nestor Araujo 72'
  • yellowcard Hugo Mallo 82'
  • yellowcard Santi Mina 90'+9'