Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 13, 2026 8.00pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal

Lille

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Lille 2 - 3 Betis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw has a probability of 22.55% and a win for Lille has a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Lille win it is 0-1 (6.41%).

Result

Arsenal 56.8% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 22.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Lille 20.61% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.76% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 50.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 49.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 28.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.94% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 37.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 39.88% ▼ (-0.03)
Lille 22.84% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Arsenal 59.1% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 7.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Lille 33.86% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 53.98% ▲ (+0.49)
Equal 8 11.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 34.67% ▼ (-0.48)
Over 9 42.74% ▲ (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 46.02% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 10.5 32.5% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 10.5 67.5% ▼ (-0.41)

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 51.2% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 48.8% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 24.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 75.03% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 10.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 53.74% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 46.26% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 21.89% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 78.11% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 6.84% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 93.16% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Arsenal 56.81%
Draw 22.57%
Lille 20.61%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 12.1% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.6% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 56.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.57%
Lille
0-1 @ 6.41% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 20.61%