/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Ftrolog.png)
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Tiago Santos
18'
-
Olivier Giroud
82'
-
Ethan Mbappé
90'+3'
Lille vs Troyes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result
Lille
45.36%
▼
(-1.76)
Draw
25.67%
▼
(-0.29)
Troyes
28.97%
▲
(+2.08)
Both Teams to Score:
53.26%
▲
(+0.55)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.85%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
25.15%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 2.5
50.78%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 2.5
49.22%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 3.5
28.26%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 3.5
71.74%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 4.5
15.7%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 4.5
84.3%
▼
(-0.15)
First Half Winner
Lille
31.78%
▼
(-1.26)
Draw
43.7%
▼
(-0.37)
Troyes
24.51%
▲
(+1.63)
Team To Score First
Lille
53.59%
▼
(-1.60)
No Goal
7.43%
▼
(-0.12)
Troyes
38.98%
▲
(+1.71)
Corners
Over 8
51.45%
▲
(+1.68)
Equal 8
11.76%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 8
36.79%
▼
(-1.72)
Over 9
40.04%
▲
(+1.50)
Equal 9
11.4%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 9
48.55%
▼
(-1.68)
Over 10.5
29.87%
▲
(+1.23)
Under 10.5
70.13%
▼
(-1.22)
Lille Goals
Over 1.5
43.53%
▼
(-1.16)
Under 1.5
56.47%
▲
(+1.16)
Over 2.5
19.18%
▼
(-0.97)
Under 2.5
80.82%
▲
(+0.97)
Over 3.5
6.78%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 3.5
93.22%
▲
(+0.43)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5
63.91%
▲
(+1.54)
Under 0.5
36.09%
▼
(-1.54)
Over 1.5
30.63%
▲
(+1.97)
Under 1.5
69.37%
▼
(-1.97)
Over 2.5
10.83%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 2.5
89.17%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 3.5
3.21%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 3.5
96.79%
▼
(-0.42)
Score analysis
Lille
45.37%
Draw
25.67%
Troyes
28.97%
Lille
1-0
@
10.19%
▼
(-0.31)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.38)
3-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.42)
Total : 45.37%
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.38)
3-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.42)
Total : 45.37%
Draw
1-1
@
11.9%
▼
(-0.27)
0-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.67%
0-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.67%
Troyes
0-1
@
7.54%
▲
(+0.21)
1-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.44)
Total : 28.97%
1-2 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.42)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.44)
Total : 28.97%
Renato Sanches
50'