Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Nice
Sep 20, 2026 4.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Riviera
Lille
  • Mohamed Abdelmonem 5' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ngoy 22' goal
  • Xavier Mandza 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Amoura 57' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Amoura 67' goal
  • goal Ayase Ueda 79'
  • yellowcard Maurits Kjærgaard 90'+1'

Nice vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Auxerre 1 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 2.00pm
Lille 2 - 0 Troyes
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Tiago Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (8.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Nice 33.42% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 27.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Lille 39.39% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.2% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.75% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 26.25% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 49.68% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 50.32% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 26.9% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 73.1% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 14.55% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.45% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Nice 26.87%
Draw 43.15%
Lille 29.98%

Team To Score First

Nice 42.56% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Lille 49.62% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.47%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 30.25%
Over 9 46.91%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 41.53%
Over 10.5 36.04%
Under 10.5 63.96%

Nice Goals

Over 1.5 34.13% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 65.87% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 12.59% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 87.41% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.7% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.3% ▲ (+0.05)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 72.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.24%
Under 3.5 94.76%

Score analysis

Nice 33.41%
Draw 27.14%
Lille 39.4%
Nice
1-0 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 33.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 27.14%
Lille
0-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.07%
Total : 39.4%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Lille
Apr 18, 2026 8.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nice
  • Ethan Mbappé 56' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 56' yellowcard
  • Osame Sahraoui 78' yellowcard
  • Gaëtan Perrin 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isak Jansson 83'
  • yellowcard Tom Louchet 83'
  • yellowcard Djibril Coulibaly 84'
  • yellowcard Kaïl Boudache 90'
  • yellowcard Tiago Gouveia 90'
Ligue 1
Nice
Oct 29, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lille
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Lille
Jan 17, 2025 8.05pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nice
  • Benjamin Andre 34' yellowcard
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 48' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 63' goal
  • goal Sofiane Diop 29'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Clauss 42'
  • yellowcard Hicham Boudaoui 83'
  • yellowcard Tanguy Ndombele 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nice
Nov 10, 2024 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Riviera
Lille
  • Jonathan Clauss 37' yellowcard
  • Sofiane Diop 56' goal
  • Sofiane Diop 85' yellowcard
  • Tom Louchet 90'+6' goal
  • goal M 17'
  • goal Mitchel Bakker 66'
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 86'
  • yellowcard Angel Gomes 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
Lille
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Nice
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 55' goal
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 58' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 61' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Andre 73' goal
  • Benjamin Andre 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 90'+8' redcard
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 10'
  • yellowcard Alexis Claude-Maurice 64'
  • yellowcard Khephren Thuram 76'
  • goal Jordan Lotomba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Marcin Bulka 90'+11'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Nice
Aug 11, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Riviera
Lille
  • Gaetan Laborde 18' goal
  • Youcef Atal 35' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Laborde 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Khephren Thuram 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 38'
  • yellowcard Tiago Santos 45'+3'
  • goal Bafode Diakite 90'+4'

Form Data

Auxerre 1 - 0 Nice
Nice 1 - 1 Le Mans
Paris FC 3 - 0 Nice
Nice 0 - 0 Lorient
Hull City 0 - 0 Nice
Cagliari 0 - 0 Nice
Lille 2 - 0 Troyes
Lille 2 - 3 Betis
Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille
Lille 2 - 2 PSG
Angers 0 - 2 Lille
Everton 1 - 1 Lille