Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Oct 10, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 4.15pm
Nice 2 - 1 Lille
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Tiago Santos

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ally Samatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw has a probability of 24.93% and a win for Le Havre has a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Le Havre win it is 0-1 (6.49%).

Result

Lille 55.04% ▼ (-2.36)
Draw 24.93% ▲ (+0.67)
Le Havre 20.04% ▲ (+1.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.3% ▲ (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.14% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 27.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 48.03% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 51.97% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 26.02% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 73.98% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 4.5 15.12% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 4.5 84.88% ▼ (-0.55)

First Half Winner

Lille 39.72% ▼ (-1.79)
Draw 41.51% ▲ (+0.95)
Le Havre 18.77% ▲ (+0.83)

Team To Score First

Lille 58.47% ▼ (-3.86)
No Goal 8.34% ▲ (+0.15)
Le Havre 33.19% ▲ (+3.71)

Corners

Over 8 58.63% ▲ (+4.11)
Equal 8 11.74% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 8 29.64% ▼ (-3.96)
Over 9 46.57% ▲ (+3.86)
Equal 9 12.06% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 9 41.38% ▼ (-4.09)
Over 10.5 35.26% ▲ (+3.28)
Under 10.5 64.74% ▼ (-3.29)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 48.69% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 1.5 51.31% ▲ (+1.18)
Over 2.5 23.01% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 2.5 76.99% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 3.5 8.83% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 3.5 91.17% ▲ (+0.27)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 53.96% ▲ (+1.72)
Under 0.5 46.04% ▼ (-1.72)
Over 1.5 21.39% ▲ (+1.91)
Under 1.5 78.61% ▼ (-1.91)
Over 2.5 6.6% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 2.5 93.4% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 3.5 1.65% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 3.5 98.35% ▼ (-0.45)

Score analysis

Lille 55.03%
Draw 24.92%
Le Havre 20.04%
Lille
1-0 @ 13.02% ▼ (-0.56)
2-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.57)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.27)
3-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.41)
3-1 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.35)
Total : 55.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 24.92%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.26)
1-2 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.19)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.23)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 20.04%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
May 3, 2026 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 29' goal
  • Ethan Mbappé 66' yellowcard
  • Calvin Verdonk 74' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 74' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 75' yellowcard
  • Gaëtan Perrin 84' yellowcard
  • Gaëtan Perrin 85' yellowcard
  • Tiago Santos 85' yellowcard
  • goal Issa Soumaré 33'
  • yellowcard Timothée Pembélé 64'
  • yellowcard Yassine Kechta 65'
  • yellowcard Timothée Pembélé 65'
  • yellowcard Enzo Koffi Vinette 75'
  • yellowcard Étienne Youté Kinkoué 88'
Ligue 1
Nov 30, 2025 4.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mbwana Samatta 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Ngoy 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 45'+3'
  • redcard Ayyoub Bouaddi 51'
  • goal Igmane Hamza 88'
  • yellowcard Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Ethan Mbappe Lottin 61' yellowcard
  • Mitchel Bakker 69' yellowcard
  • Chuba Akpom 90'+7' goal
  • goal Ahmed Mahgoub 38'
  • goal Issa Soumare 56'
  • yellowcard Yanis Zouaoui 67'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Oceane
  • Yassine Kechta 44' yellowcard
  • Arthur Desmas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan David 23'
  • goal Jonathan David 35'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 68'
  • goal Jonathan David 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Jonathan David 14' goal
  • Nabil Bentaleb 36' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 44' goal
  • Jonathan David 49' goal
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gautier Lloris 18'
  • yellowcard Abdoulaye Toure 65'
  • yellowcard Christopher Operi 83'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • goal Edon Zhegrova 40'
  • goal Yoann Salmier 52' (OG)