Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Océane
  • Lionel Mpasi-Nzau 10' yellowcard
  • D. Digard 10' yellowcard
  • Didier Digard 38' yellowcard
  • Junior Mwanga 45'+2' redcard
  • Rayan Fofana 79' goal
  • goal Kamory Doumbia 12'
  • yellowcard Kamory Doumbia 39'
  • goal Kamory Doumbia 51'

Le Havre vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.45pm
Lyon 1 - 1 Le Havre
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Ally Samatta

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.45pm
Brest 2 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Kamory Doumbia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result

Le Havre 36.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 28.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Brest 34.86% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 29.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 45.05% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 54.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.39%
Under 3.5 75.61%
Over 4.5 12.68%
Under 4.5 87.32%

First Half Winner

Le Havre 26.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 46.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Brest 26.45% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Le Havre 46.33% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Brest 44.64% ▲ (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 57.21% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 12.03% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 30.76% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 44.98% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 12.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 42.79% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 33.65% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 66.35% ▲ (+0.21)

Le Havre Goals

Over 1.5 34.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.91% ▼ (-0.03)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 67.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 32.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 33.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.61% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 87.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.29% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Le Havre 36.82%
Draw 28.32%
Brest 34.88%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 10.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 36.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 28.32%
Brest
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 34.88%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2026 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Romain Del Castillo 45'+2' goal
  • Rémy Labeau Lascary 70' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 71' goal
  • Lucas Tousart 79' yellowcard
  • Pathé Mboup 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luck Zogbé 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Hamidou Makalou 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephan Zagadou 63'
  • yellowcard Enzo Koffi Vinette 64'
  • yellowcard Ally Samatta 64'
  • yellowcard Stephan Zagadou 64'
  • yellowcard Reda Khadra 80'
  • yellowcard Yassine Kechta 81'
  • yellowcard Reda Khadra 81'
Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 30, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Arouna Sangante 1' yellowcard
  • Andre Ayew 4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mahdi Camara 7'
  • yellowcard Romain Faivre 22'
  • goal Ludovic Ajorque 25'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Ajorque 58'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Ludovic Ajorque 12' goal
  • Massadio Haidara 17' yellowcard
  • Niakhate Ndiaye 25' yellowcard
  • Massadio Haidara 73' redcard
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 79' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Salah 90'+2' goal
  • redcard Etienne Youte Kinkoue 48'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 34' goal
  • Romain Del Castillo 52' yellowcard
  • Jonas Martin 72' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 76' yellowcard
  • Pierre Lees-Melou 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oualid El Hajjam 55'