Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Christ Tapé 34' yellowcard
  • Casper Tengstedt 49' goal
  • Casper Tengstedt 51' goal
  • Niko Sigur 58' yellowcard
  • Seny Koumbassa 74' yellowcard
  • Thomas Jørgensen 79' goal
  • goal Josh Maja 71'
  • yellowcard Sota Nakamura 81'
  • goal Ally Samatta 88'

Toulouse vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Casper Tengstedt

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Le Havre 0 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ally Samatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (9.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 43.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 27.92% ▲ (+0.07)
Le Havre 28.99% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.7% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.88% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 30.12% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 44.6% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 2.5 55.4% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 3.5 23.44% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 3.5 76.56% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 4.5 12.15% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 87.85% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 31.15% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 45.43% ▲ (+0.21)
Le Havre 23.42% ▼ (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 50.85% ▼ (-0.22)
No Goal 9.36% ▲ (+0.22)
Le Havre 39.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.29% ▲ (+0.65)
Equal 8 12.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 8 31.47% ▼ (-0.71)
Over 9 43.95% ▲ (+0.54)
Equal 9 12.34% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 9 43.71% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 10.5 32.61% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 10.5 67.39% ▼ (-0.38)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 38.84% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 61.16% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 15.59% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 84.41% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 4.98% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 95.02% ▲ (+0.12)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 0.5 37.39% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 1.5 27.96% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 72.04% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 9.18% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 90.82% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 2.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 97.58% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Toulouse 43.07%
Draw 27.93%
Le Havre 29%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 11.75% ▲ (+0.19)
2-1 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 43.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 27.93%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 29%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Océane
  • Issa Soumaré 43' goal
  • Lionel Mpasi-Nzau 46' yellowcard
  • Issa Soumaré 53' goal
  • Daren Mosengo 65' yellowcard
  • Ally Samatta 65' yellowcard
  • Timothée Pembélé 84' yellowcard
  • Yassine Kechta 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Hidalgo 30'
  • goal Djibril Sidibé 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jacen Russell-Rowe 62'
  • yellowcard Dayann Methalie 62'
  • yellowcard Mario Sauer 63'
  • yellowcard Julián Vignolo 83'
Ligue 1
Nov 2, 2025 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 4.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Issa Soumare 51' goal
  • Junior Mwanga 59' redcard
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 9'
  • goal Vincent Sierro 56'
  • goal Aron Donnum 63'
  • yellowcard Vincent Sierro 73'
  • goal Frank Magri 78'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • J 53' yellowcard
  • Shavy Babicka 70' goal
  • Yann Gboho 86' goal
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Christopher Operi 60' goal
  • Christopher Operi 84' yellowcard
  • Steve Ngoura 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Keben 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Logan Costa 30' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 49' goal
  • Niklas Schmidt 45'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josue Casimir 45'+2'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 83'
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 85'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+6'