Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jacen Russell-Rowe

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Le Havre 0 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Ally Samatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.7%. A draw has a probability of 27.69% and a win for Le Havre has a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.59%) , while for a Le Havre win it is 0-1 (8.63%).

Result

Toulouse 44.7%
Draw 27.69%
Le Havre 27.61%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.1%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.29%
Under 1.5 29.71%
Over 2.5 45.07%
Under 2.5 54.93%
Over 3.5 24.1%
Under 3.5 75.9%
Over 4.5 12.54%
Under 4.5 87.46%

First Half Winner

Toulouse 32.71%
Draw 44.16%
Le Havre 23.13%

Team To Score First

Toulouse 53.47%
No Goal 9.07%
Le Havre 37.46%

Corners

Over 8 48.91%
Equal 8 12.26%
Under 8 38.83%
Over 9 37.27%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 51.09%
Over 10.5 27.13%
Under 10.5 72.87%

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 40.42%
Under 1.5 59.58%
Over 2.5 16.53%
Under 2.5 83.47%
Over 3.5 5.44%
Under 3.5 94.56%

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 61.72%
Under 0.5 38.28%
Over 1.5 27.29%
Under 1.5 72.71%
Over 2.5 8.78%
Under 2.5 91.22%
Over 3.5 2.41%
Under 3.5 97.59%

Score analysis

Toulouse 44.69%
Draw 27.69%
Le Havre 27.61%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.28%
Other @ 5.32%
Total : 44.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 27.69%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 8.63%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 27.61%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Feb 15, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Océane
  • Issa Soumaré 43' goal
  • Lionel Mpasi-Nzau 46' yellowcard
  • Issa Soumaré 53' goal
  • Daren Mosengo 65' yellowcard
  • Ally Samatta 65' yellowcard
  • Timothée Pembélé 84' yellowcard
  • Yassine Kechta 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Hidalgo 30'
  • goal Djibril Sidibé 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jacen Russell-Rowe 62'
  • yellowcard Dayann Methalie 62'
  • yellowcard Mario Sauer 63'
  • yellowcard Julián Vignolo 83'
Ligue 1
Nov 2, 2025 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 4.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Oceane
  • Issa Soumare 51' goal
  • Junior Mwanga 59' redcard
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 9'
  • goal Vincent Sierro 56'
  • goal Aron Donnum 63'
  • yellowcard Vincent Sierro 73'
  • goal Frank Magri 78'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • J 53' yellowcard
  • Shavy Babicka 70' goal
  • Yann Gboho 86' goal
  • yellowcard Arouna Sangante 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Christopher Operi 60' goal
  • Christopher Operi 84' yellowcard
  • Steve Ngoura 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Keben 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Logan Costa 30' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 49' goal
  • Niklas Schmidt 45'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josue Casimir 45'+2'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 83'
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 85'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+6'