Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Sao Paulo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Botafogo win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 22.46% | 23.79% | 53.75% |
| Both teams to score 52.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% | 48.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% | 70.24% |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.19% | 35.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.42% | 72.58% |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% | 17.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.46% | 48.54% |
| Score Analysis |
Botafogo 22.46%
Sao Paulo 53.75%
Draw 23.79%
| Botafogo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 1-0 @ 6.55% 2-1 @ 5.8% 2-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.9% Total : 22.46% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 9.49% 1-3 @ 5.61% 0-3 @ 5.46% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.42% 0-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.75% |


