Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Bragantino |
| 38.3% | 26.86% | 34.85% |
| Both teams to score 51.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% | 53.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% | 75.32% |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% | 27.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% | 62.81% |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Score Analysis |
Botafogo 38.29%
Bragantino 34.85%
Draw 26.85%
| Botafogo | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.29% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 6.02% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.85% |


