Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Bahia
Aug 9, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Vasco
  • Ademir 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cuiabano 31'
  • yellowcard Thiago Mendes  37'

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 1.30am
Fluminense 0 - 0 Bahia
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Chapecoense 0 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.05% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.11%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Bahia 52.95% ▼ (-0.28)
Draw 26.05% ▲ (+0.08)
Vasco da Gama 21.04% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.45% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 47.97% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 52.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.46% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 73.55% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 4.5 14.84% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 85.16% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Bahia 37.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 43.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Vasco da Gama 18.36% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Bahia 61.08% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 8.16%
Vasco da Gama 30.76% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.13% ▼ (-0.36)
Equal 8 10.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 24.3% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 9 53.7% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 34.87% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 10.5 42.38% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 10.5 57.62% ▲ (+0.26)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 47.78% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 52.22% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 21.82% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 78.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 8.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 56.87% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 0.5 43.13% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 1.5 22.98% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 77.02% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 6.76% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 93.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 1.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 98.43% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Bahia 52.95%
Draw 26.05%
Vasco da Gama 21.04%
Bahia
1-0 @ 12.69%
2-1 @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 52.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.05%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 21.04%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Vasco
Feb 12, 2026 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Bahia
  • Paulo Henrique 63' yellowcard
  • Marino Hinestroza 64' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 64' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Souza da Silva 77' yellowcard
  • GB 77' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas Echavarria 83' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas 83' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas Echavarria 84' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano 22'
  • goal Luciano Juba 22'
  • yellowcard Erick da Costa Farias 58'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 58'
  • yellowcard Willian Jose 58'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 58'
  • yellowcard Everaldo 58'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulga 58'
  • yellowcard Erick 72'
  • yellowcard Erick 73'
  • yellowcard Caio Alexandre 83'
Brasileiro
Bahia
Nov 23, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Vasco
Brasileiro
Vasco
Jul 23, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bahia
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Vasco
Oct 29, 2024 12.00am
3
2
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Bahia
  • Emerson Rodriguez 12' goal
  • Emerson Rodriguez 12' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 18' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 18' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 32' goal
  • Dimitri Payet 32' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Galdames 40' yellowcard
  • Maicon 53' yellowcard
  • Maicon 53' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 84' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Payet 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 24'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 24'
  • goal Luciano Rodriguez 42'
  • goal Luciano Rodriguez 42'
  • yellowcard Thaciano 51'
  • yellowcard Thaciano 51'
  • goal Ademir 75'
  • goal Ademir 75'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Bahia
Jun 27, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Vasco
  • Thaciano 7' goal
  • Thaciano 7' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 86' goal
  • Oscar Estupinan 86' goal
  • goal Paulo Henrique 20'
  • goal Paulo Henrique 20'
  • yellowcard Adson 32'
  • yellowcard Adson 32'
  • yellowcard David 38'
  • yellowcard David 38'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 55'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 55'
  • redcard David 59'
  • redcard David 59'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 81'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 81'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Bahia
Sep 3, 2023 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Vasco
  • Gilberto 20' yellowcard
  • Ademir 45' goal
  • Vitor Hugo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 41'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 63'
  • yellowcard Gary Medel 72'
  • redcard Jair 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 90'+8'

Form Data

Fluminense 0 - 0 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 1 Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Bahia
Bahia 2 - 0 Chapecoense
Bahia 4 - 1 Torque
Bahia 2 - 1 Botafogo
Fluminense 1 - 3 Vasco
Vasco 0 - 0 Fluminense
Vasco 1 - 0 Medellin
Chapecoense 0 - 0 Vasco
Vasco 1 - 1 Mirassol
Medellin 2 - 2 Vasco