Copa do Brasil
Vasco
Aug 1, 2026 9.30pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Fluminense

Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Fluminense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Fluminense has a probability of 27.24% and a draw has a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Fluminense win is 0-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).

Result

Vasco da Gama 45.64% ▲ (+1.93)
Draw 27.17% ▲ (+0.33)
Fluminense 27.24% ▼ (-2.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.07% ▼ (-0.68)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.65% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 29.35% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 45.8% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 2.5 54.2% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 3.5 23.46% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 3.5 76.54% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 4.5 12.54% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 4.5 87.46% ▲ (+0.54)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 33.37% ▲ (+1.63)
Draw 45.59% ▼ (-0.47)
Fluminense 21.04% ▼ (-1.17)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 54.67% ▲ (+2.54)
No Goal 8.82% ▲ (+0.34)
Fluminense 36.51% ▼ (-2.86)

Corners

Over 8 55.76% ▼ (-1.36)
Equal 8 11.99% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 8 32.25% ▲ (+1.06)
Over 9 43.73% ▼ (-1.53)
Equal 9 12.03% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 44.24% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 10.5 32.68% ▼ (-1.55)
Under 10.5 67.32% ▲ (+1.55)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 40.95% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 1.5 59.05% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 2.5 16.77% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 2.5 83.23% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 5.4% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 94.6% ▼ (-0.19)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 61.45% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 0.5 38.55% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 1.5 26.87% ▼ (-1.96)
Under 1.5 73.13% ▲ (+1.96)
Over 2.5 8.98% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 91.02% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 2.29% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 97.71% ▲ (+0.33)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 45.64%
Draw 27.16%
Fluminense 27.24%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.15% ▲ (+0.63)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.49)
2-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.51)
3-0 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 45.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.61% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.34)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 27.16%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 8.42% ▼ (-0.45)
1-2 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.38)
0-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.37)
Total : 27.24%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Vasco
Mar 19, 2026 12.30am
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Fluminense
  • José Luis Rodríguez 46' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas 46' yellowcard
  • Nuno Moreira 59' goal
  • Adson 68' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 68' yellowcard
  • Adson 69' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 69' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Brenner 79' yellowcard
  • Brenner 80' yellowcard
  • Claudio Spinelli 88' goal
  • Thiago Mendes 90'+5' goal
  • goal Agustín Canobbio 1'
  • yellowcard Otávio 46'
  • goal Hércules  54'
  • yellowcard 67'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Castillo 67'
  • yellowcard Ganso 68'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Castillo 69'
  • yellowcard Ganso 69'
  • yellowcard Guga 79'
  • yellowcard 79'
  • yellowcard Kevin Serna 79'
  • yellowcard Guga 80'
  • yellowcard Kevin Serna 80'
Copa do Brasil
Fluminense
Dec 14, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
ET
Vasco
  • Samuel Xavier 10' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 36' goal
  • Luciano Acosta 44' yellowcard
  • Nonato 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kevin Serna 68' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Gomez 32'
  • yellowcard Carlos Cuesta 75'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 89'
Copa do Brasil
Vasco
Dec 11, 2025 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Fluminense
  • Leo Jardim 17' yellowcard
  • Rayan 50' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 90'+4' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Serna 22'
Brasileiro
Vasco
Oct 20, 2025 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fluminense
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Fluminense
May 24, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Vasco
  • Juan Pablo Freytes 24' yellowcard
  • Everaldo Stum 29' yellowcard
  • Fabio 29' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 42' goal
  • Guga 87' goal
  • Guga 88' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Victor 25'
  • yellowcard Mateus Carvalho 49'
  • yellowcard Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 54'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Vasco
Aug 11, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Fluminense
  • Pablo Vegetti 23' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 23' goal
  • Victor Luis 40' yellowcard
  • Victor Luis 40' yellowcard
  • Victor Luis 65' goal
  • Victor Luis 65' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 74' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 74' yellowcard
  • Rayan 83' yellowcard
  • Rayan 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ganso 42'
  • yellowcard Ganso 42'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 56'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 56'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 79'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 79'

Form Data

Vasco 1 - 0 Medellin
Chapecoense 0 - 0 Vasco
Vasco 1 - 1 Mirassol
Medellin 2 - 2 Vasco
Vitoria 1 - 0 Vasco
Vasco 0 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Fluminense 0 - 0 Bahia
Gremio 1 - 1 Fluminense
Fluminense 1 - 1 Bragantino
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Fluminense
Fluminense 3 - 1 Deportivo
Mirassol 1 - 0 Fluminense