Copa Sudamericana
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-
Claudio Spinelli
4'
-
Jair
69'
-
Thiago Mendes
85'
-
Thiago Mendes
86'
-
Joaquín Varela
39'
-
Keiner Klinger
90'+2'
Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result
Vasco da Gama
48.5%
▲
(+0.54)
Draw
24.62%
▼
(-0.09)
Independiente Medellin
26.87%
▼
(-0.44)
Both Teams to Score:
55.71%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
23.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
53.1%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
46.9%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
30.68%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
69.32%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
17.8%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
82.2%
▲
(+0.05)
First Half Winner
Vasco da Gama
35.83%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
43.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Independiente Medellin
20.46%
▼
(-0.28)
Team To Score First
Vasco da Gama
54.88%
▲
(+0.49)
No Goal
6.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Independiente Medellin
38.75%
▼
(-0.47)
Corners
Over 8
63.41%
▲
(+0.28)
Equal 8
10.62%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 8
25.97%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 9
52.1%
▲
(+0.33)
Equal 9
11.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 9
36.59%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 10.5
41.04%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 10.5
58.96%
▼
(-0.34)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 1.5
47.14%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 1.5
52.86%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 2.5
22.24%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 2.5
77.76%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 3.5
8.13%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
91.87%
▼
(-0.07)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5
63.12%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
36.88%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
29.64%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 1.5
70.36%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 2.5
10.56%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 2.5
89.44%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
3.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
96.85%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Vasco da Gama
48.51%
Draw
24.63%
Independiente Medellin
26.87%
Vasco da Gama
1-0
@
10.09%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 48.51%
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 48.51%
Draw
1-1
@
11.71%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.63%
0-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.63%
Independiente Medellin
0-1
@
7.03%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 26.87%
1-2 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 26.87%