Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 27, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Ciudad de Caseros

Estudiantes vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 1.30am
Flamengo 1 - 0 Estudiantes

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 3.00am
Garcilaso 2 - 3 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estudiantes win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Independiente Medellin has a probability of 30.19% and a draw has a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win is 0-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Estudiantes 44.01% (+0.04)
Draw 25.77% (+0.01)
Independiente Medellin 30.19% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.09% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.75% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25.25% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 51.11% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 48.89% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 29.15% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 70.85% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 16.75% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 83.25% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Estudiantes 29.08% (-0.04)
Draw 48.22% (+0.04)
Independiente Medellin 22.69% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Estudiantes 52.94% (-0.04)
No Goal 7.56% (+0.02)
Independiente Medellin 39.5% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 52.49% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.71% (+0.02)
Under 8 35.8% (-0.16)
Over 9 41.04% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.45% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.51% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 30.73% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 69.27% (-0.10)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 1.5 43.05% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.95% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.3% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.27% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.73% (+0.02)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 64.45% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 35.55% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 31.24% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 68.76% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 11.39% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.61% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.41% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.59% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Estudiantes 44.02%
Draw 25.77%
Independiente Medellin 30.18%
Estudiantes
1-0 @ 9.58% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78%
Other @ 7.19% (-0.01)
Total : 44.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.77%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 8.08% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33% (-0.03)
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Daniel Cataño 46' yellowcard
  • Francisco Chaverra 63' goal
  • Yony González 68' yellowcard
  • Enzo Larrosa 87' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Palacios 4'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 60'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Tobio Burgos 61'
  • yellowcard Adolfo Gaich 62'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Tobio Burgos 62'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 62'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 89'
  • yellowcard Brian Aguirre 90'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 90'