Copa Libertadores Gameweek 6
May 27, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Caseros
  • Brian Aguirre 53' yellowcard
  • Joaquín Tobio Burgos 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Alario 63' yellowcard
  • Alexis Castro 87' yellowcard
  • José Sosa 87' yellowcard
  • José Sosa 88' yellowcard
  • Alexis Castro 88' yellowcard
  • Mikel Amondarain 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Esneyder Mena 56'
  • yellowcard Hayen Palacios 56'
  • yellowcard Luis Escorcia 82'
  • yellowcard Luis Escorcia 83'

Estudiantes vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 1.30am
Flamengo 1 - 0 Estudiantes

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 21, 2026 3.00am
Garcilaso 2 - 3 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Estudiantes 44.92% ▲ (+0.97)
Draw 25.92% ▲ (+0.10)
Independiente Medellin 29.22% ▼ (-1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.97% ▼ (-1.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.01% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 1.5 25.99% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 2.5 49.88% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 2.5 50.12% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 3.5 28.11% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 3.5 71.89% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 4.5 15.9% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 4.5 84.1% ▲ (+0.83)

First Half Winner

Estudiantes 29.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 48.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Independiente Medellin 22.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Estudiantes 52.88% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 7.71% ▲ (+0.13)
Independiente Medellin 39.41% ▼ (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 33.24% ▼ (-19.23)
Equal 8 10.08% ▼ (-1.64)
Under 8 56.68% ▲ (+20.86)
Over 9 24.78% ▼ (-16.25)
Equal 9 8.45% ▼ (-3.00)
Under 9 66.76% ▲ (+19.24)
Over 10.5 18.19% ▼ (-12.53)
Under 10.5 81.81% ▲ (+12.53)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 1.5 43.06% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 56.94% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 19.11% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 80.89% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 7.06% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 92.94% ▲ (+0.22)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 63.49% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 0.5 36.51% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 1.5 29.98% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 1.5 70.02% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 2.5 10.65% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 2.5 89.35% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 3.5 3.1% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 96.9% ▲ (+0.33)

Score analysis

Estudiantes 44.92%
Draw 25.91%
Independiente Medellin 29.23%
Estudiantes
1-0 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.60)
2-1 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.39)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 44.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.91%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 8.15% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.34)
0-2 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.14)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3% ▼ (-0.34)
Total : 29.23%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Daniel Cataño 46' yellowcard
  • Francisco Chaverra 63' goal
  • Yony González 68' yellowcard
  • Enzo Larrosa 87' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Palacios 4'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 60'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Tobio Burgos 61'
  • yellowcard Adolfo Gaich 62'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Tobio Burgos 62'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 62'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 89'
  • yellowcard Brian Aguirre 90'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 90'