Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
5
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-
Joel Herrera
46'
-
Marlon Ruidías
46'
-
G. Carabajal
70'
-
Nicolás Silva
70'
-
Nicolás Silva
71'
-
G. Carabajal
71'
-
José Alí Gutiérrez
76'
-
Gu-rum Choi
78'
-
Aldair Fuentes
90'+4'
-
Francisco Fydriszewski
13'
-
Alexis Serna
63'
-
Hayen Palacios
78'
-
Baldomero Perlaza
78'
-
Francisco Chaverra
88'
-
Francisco Chaverra
89'
-
Luis Escorcia
89'
-
Baldomero Perlaza
90'+1'
-
Alexis Serna
90'+7'
Real Garcilaso vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Garcilaso win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Garcilaso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result
Real Garcilaso
40.86%
Draw
26.59%
▼
(-0.04)
Independiente Medellin
32.58%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
51.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.7%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
27.3%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 2.5
47.43%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 2.5
52.57%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 3.5
24.99%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
75.01%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
13.48%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
86.52%
▼
(-0.10)
First Half Winner
Real Garcilaso
33.62%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
44.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Independiente Medellin
21.85%
▼
(-0.02)
Team To Score First
Real Garcilaso
51.59%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
7.79%
▼
(-0.04)
Independiente Medellin
40.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Corners
Over 8
50.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 8
12.11%
Under 8
37.35%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 9
38.89%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 9
11.65%
Under 9
49.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 10.5
28.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 10.5
71.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Real Garcilaso Goals
Over 1.5
38.23%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
61.77%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
15.19%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
84.81%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
4.97%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
95.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5
66.02%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
33.98%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
31.65%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
68.35%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 2.5
11.66%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
88.34%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
3.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
96.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Real Garcilaso
40.86%
Draw
26.59%
Independiente Medellin
32.58%
Real Garcilaso
1-0
@
10.67%
▼
(-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.86%
2-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.86%
Draw
1-1
@
13.05%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.59%
0-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.59%
Independiente Medellin
0-1
@
8.87%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.58%
1-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.58%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
Gameweek
3
-
Didier Moreno
46'
-
John Edwin Montaño
63'
-
John Edwin Montaño
64'
-
Hayen Palacios
64'
-
Baldomero Perlaza
70'
-
Francisco Fydriszewski
87'
-
Leyser Chaverra
90'+1'
-
Carlos Diez
56'
-
José Bolívar
78'
-
Iván Colman
90'+1'
-
90'+1'
-
Juan Tévez
90'+1'