Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Jul 29, 2026 1.00am
Arena Condá

Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Chapecoense 0 - 4 Flamengo
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 11.30pm
Vitoria 1 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Cauan Barros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Chapecoense has a probability of 34.43% and a draw has a probability of 27.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Chapecoense win is 1-0 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.24%).

Result

Chapecoense 34.43% (-0.08)
Draw 27.96% (-0.01)
Vasco da Gama 37.61% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.96% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.49% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 28.51% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.02% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.98% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.63% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 75.37% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.55%
Under 4.5 87.45%

First Half Winner

Chapecoense 24.92% (+0.02)
Draw 47.38% (-0.01)
Vasco da Gama 27.7%

Team To Score First

Chapecoense 44.77%
No Goal 8.21% (+0.04)
Vasco da Gama 47.02% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 62.59% (-0.06)
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 26.71% (+0.07)
Over 9 51.29% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 37.41% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 40.33% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 59.68% (+0.05)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 1.5 33.43% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 66.57% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 11.47% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 88.53% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.25% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.75% (+0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 70.63%
Under 0.5 29.37%
Over 1.5 35.77% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.23% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.41% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.59% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.88% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.12% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Chapecoense 34.42%
Draw 27.97%
Vasco da Gama 37.61%
Chapecoense
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.14% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.24% (-0.01)
Total : 34.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.97%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.87% (+0.02)
Total : 37.61%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 5, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 55' goal
  • José Luis Rodríguez 55' goal
  • David 69' yellowcard
  • João Vitor Silva 79' yellowcard
  • Marino Hinestroza 79' yellowcard
  • João Victor 79' yellowcard
  • Marino Hinestroza 80' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 80' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas Echavarria 86' yellowcard
  • Johan Rojas 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Higor Meritao 54'
  • yellowcard Meritão 54'
  • yellowcard Marcinho 69'
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos 69'
  • yellowcard Rubens Tadeu Hartmann Ricoldi 70'
  • yellowcard Rubens 70'
  • yellowcard David Antunes da Silva 79'
  • yellowcard David Antunes 79'
  • goal Jean Carlos 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2019 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Henrique 42' yellowcard
  • Yago Pikachu 84' goal
  • Yago Pikachu 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caique Silva Sa 11'
  • yellowcard Elicarlos 76'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Ramos 82'
  • goal Vinicius Locatelli 92'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Sep 14, 2019 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Elicarlos 21' yellowcard
  • Pereira Rafael 37' yellowcard
  • Arthur 73' goal
  • yellowcard Leandro Castan 25'
  • yellowcard Raul Caceres 29'
  • goal Ribamar 45'
  • yellowcard Rossi 68'
  • goal Talles Magno 75'
  • yellowcard Clayton 89'
  • yellowcard Henrique 92'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 26, 2018 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Raul 50' yellowcard
  • Wagner 54' goal
  • Maxi Lopez 69' yellowcard
  • Maxi Lopez 85' goal
  • Vinicius Araujo 90' yellowcard
  • Thiago Galhardo 92' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Thyere 7'
  • yellowcard Bruno Silva 70'
  • goal Leandro Pereira 79'
Brasileiro
Apr 22, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wellington Paulista 19' goal
  • Vinicius 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wellington 1'
  • goal Andres Rios 54'
  • yellowcard Wagner 69'