Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 25, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 11.30pm
Botafogo 2 - 1 Santos
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Chapecoense 0 - 4 Flamengo
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Jean Carlos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Santos win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw has a probability of 24.23% and a win for Chapecoense has a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.89%) , while for a Chapecoense win it is 0-1 (6.39%).

Result

Santos 60.87% (+0.27)
Draw 24.23% (-0.13)
Chapecoense 14.86% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.46% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.36% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 32.64% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 41.36% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 58.64% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 20.81% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 79.19% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 11.69% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 88.31% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Santos 42.41% (+0.04)
Draw 43.44% (-0.06)
Chapecoense 14.16% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Santos 64.64% (+0.30)
No Goal 9.63% (-0.11)
Chapecoense 25.73% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 61.6% (+0.53)
Equal 8 11.51% (+0.11)
Under 8 26.89% (-0.63)
Over 9 49.5% (+0.36)
Equal 9 12.1% (+0.18)
Under 9 38.4% (-0.53)
Over 10.5 37.92% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 62.08% (-0.17)

Santos Goals

Over 1.5 48.77% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 51.23% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 22.06% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 77.94% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 8% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 92% (-0.16)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 46.04% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 53.96% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 14.21% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 85.79% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 3% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 97% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.58% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.42% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Santos 60.89%
Draw 24.24%
Chapecoense 14.87%
Santos
1-0 @ 16.62% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 12.91% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.81% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.99% (+0.16)
Total : 60.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.63% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.24%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.57% (-0.03)
Total : 14.87%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Jan 28, 2026 11.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Condá
  • Walter Clar 16' yellowcard
  • Everton Souza da Cruz 46' yellowcard
  • Everton 46' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bolasie 58' yellowcard
  • Jean Carlos 58' yellowcard
  • Higor Meritao 68' yellowcard
  • Meritão 68' yellowcard
  • Higor Meritao 73' goal
  • Meritão 73' goal
  • Robert dos Santos Conceição 75' yellowcard
  • Robert Santos 75' yellowcard
  • Jean Carlos 80' goal
  • Rafael dos Santos Cavalheira Natividade 90' goal
  • Carvalheira 90' goal
  • goal Gabriel Menino 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Barreal 46'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Barreal 46'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 67'
  • goal Álvaro Barreal 67'
  • yellowcard Fernando Pradella Rocha 77'
  • yellowcard Nikita Solodchenko 77'
  • yellowcard Robson de Souza Júnior 78'
  • yellowcard Robson de Souza Junior 78'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Rollheiser 84'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 84'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo 89'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Bontempo 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 17, 2021 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marinho 27' goal
  • Angelo Gabriel 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Marcos Guilherme 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jordan 24'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Busanello 29'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Aug 1, 2021 10.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Carlos Sanchez 43'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Dec 1, 2019 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira (Santos, São Paulo)
  • Lucas Verissimo 8' goal
  • Marinho 37' yellowcard
  • Evandro 49' goal
  • Evandro 53' yellowcard
  • Alison 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dalberto 38'
  • yellowcard Douglas 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Aug 31, 2019 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Condá (Chapecó, Santa Catarina)
  • Arthur 29' yellowcard
  • Eduardo 91' yellowcard
  • goal Gum 39' (OG)
  • yellowcard Pituca 50'
  • yellowcard Everson 68'
  • yellowcard Victor Ferraz 86'
  • yellowcard Yeferson Soteldo 91'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 12, 2018 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alison 56' yellowcard
  • Yuri 77' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Pereira 29'
  • yellowcard Marcio Araujo 89'