Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Jul 30, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Fluminense vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 10.30pm
Gremio 1 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 8.00pm
Bahia 1 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fluminense win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw has a probability of 22.34% and a win for Bahia has a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Bahia win it is 0-1 (5.34%).

Result

Fluminense 60.94% (+0.36)
Draw 22.34% (+0.09)
Bahia 16.73% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

51% (-1.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.65% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 24.35% (+0.84)
Over 2.5 50.94% (-0.99)
Under 2.5 49.06% (+0.99)
Over 3.5 28.24% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 71.76% (+0.83)
Over 4.5 16.68% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 83.32% (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Fluminense 43.61% (+0.01)
Draw 39.1% (+0.04)
Bahia 17.29% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Fluminense 66.18% (-0.13)
No Goal 6.27% (+0.31)
Bahia 27.55% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 59.49% (+0.11)
Equal 8 11.55%
Under 8 28.96% (-0.11)
Over 9 47.57% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.51% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 36.3% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 63.7% (-0.08)

Fluminense Goals

Over 1.5 54.54% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 45.46% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 26.79% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 73.21% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 10.71% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 89.29% (+0.20)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 52.43% (-1.00)
Under 0.5 47.57% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 19.23% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 80.77% (+0.80)
Over 2.5 5.13% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 94.87% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 1.12% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.88% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Fluminense 60.95%
Draw 22.35%
Bahia 16.72%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 12.76% (+0.48)
2-0 @ 11.33% (+0.26)
2-1 @ 10.82% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.53% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.11)
Other @ 10.7% (-0.20)
Total : 60.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.27% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.35%
Bahia
0-1 @ 5.34% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.11% (-0.09)
Total : 16.72%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 5, 2026 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Cristian Olivera 62' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 62' yellowcard
  • Erick 62' yellowcard
  • Mateo Sanabria 69' yellowcard
  • M. Sanabria 69' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 78' goal
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo 80' yellowcard
  • Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo 81' yellowcard
  • goal John Kennedy 20'
  • yellowcard Facundo Bernal 60'
  • yellowcard Ganso 79'
  • yellowcard Santiago Moreno 79'
  • yellowcard 79'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 89'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 89'
  • yellowcard Lima 89'
Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nonato 9' yellowcard
  • Nonato 10' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 68' yellowcard
  • Ganso 75' goal
  • Thiago Silva 83' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 20'
  • yellowcard Erick da Costa Farias 74'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'+2'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 10, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Aug 10, 2025 1.00am
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 14' goal
  • Diogo Barbosa 25' yellowcard
  • Thiago 36' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 45' goal
  • Thiago Silva 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 84'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'+2'