Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Atletico Mineiro
Jul 21, 2026 11.30pm
Arena MRV
Bahia

Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 31, 2026 8.00pm
Vasco 0 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 11.30pm
Bahia 2 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw has a probability of 25.32% and a win for Bahia has a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.45%) and 2-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Bahia win it is 0-1 (6.69%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 54.01%
Draw 25.32%
Bahia 20.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 47.9%
Under 2.5 52.1%
Over 3.5 25.73%
Under 3.5 74.27%
Over 4.5 14.33%
Under 4.5 85.67%

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 39.98%
Draw 40.45%
Bahia 19.57%

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 61.27%
No Goal 7.74%
Bahia 30.99%

Corners

Over 8 61.44%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 27.3%
Over 9 49.62%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 38.56%
Over 10.5 38.27%
Under 10.5 61.73%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 48.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 78.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.9%
Under 3.5 92.1%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 56.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 22.26%
Under 1.5 77.74%
Over 2.5 6.59%
Under 2.5 93.41%
Over 3.5 1.6%
Under 3.5 98.4%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 54%
Draw 25.33%
Bahia 20.67%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 10.45%
2-0 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 7.8%
Total : 54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.33%
Bahia
0-1 @ 6.69%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 2.97%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 20.67%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Atletico Mineiro
Nov 5, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bahia
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Bahia
Jul 13, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Bahia
Sep 15, 2024 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Atletico Mineiro
  • Everaldo Stum 51' goal
  • Everton Ribeiro 58' goal
  • Kanu 80' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodriguez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 22'
  • yellowcard Everson 82'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Atletico Mineiro
Jun 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
Bahia
  • Guilherme Arana 16' yellowcard
  • Hulk 62' goal
  • Gustavo Scarpa 77' yellowcard
  • Pedrinho 84' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Everson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thaciano 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 61'
  • goal Ademir 70'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Teixeira 80'
  • yellowcard Oscar Estupinan 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Bahia
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Atletico Mineiro
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 11' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 11' goal
  • Luciano 45'+7' goal
  • Luciano 45'+7' goal
  • Vitor Hugo 61' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo 61' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 67' goal
  • Thaciano 67' goal
  • Ademir 90'+2' goal
  • Ademir 90'+2' goal
  • Ademir 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ademir 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 36'
  • goal Paulinho 36'
  • yellowcard Rubens 58'
  • yellowcard Rubens 58'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 85'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Atletico Mineiro
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Bahia
  • Otavio 44' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 44' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 49' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Teixeira 72'
  • redcard Ryan Carlos 90'+6'

Form Data

Vasco 0 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Puerto Cabello
Corinthians 1 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 0 Cienciano
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Mirassol
Ceara 2 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Bahia 2 - 0 Chapecoense
Bahia 4 - 1 Torque
Bahia 2 - 1 Botafogo
Coritiba 3 - 2 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 1 Gremio
Remo 2 - 1 Bahia