Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 21, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Ruan 45'+1' goal
  • goal Ademir 57'
  • yellowcard Zé Guilherme 77'
  • yellowcard Erick 87'

Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
May 31, 2026 8.00pm
Vasco 0 - 1 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Victor Hugo

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 11.30pm
Bahia 2 - 0 Chapecoense
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.32% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.45%) and 2-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%) , while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 54.01%
Draw 25.32%
Bahia 20.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.69% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.31% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 47.9%
Under 2.5 52.1%
Over 3.5 25.73%
Under 3.5 74.27%
Over 4.5 14.33%
Under 4.5 85.67%

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 39.98%
Draw 40.45%
Bahia 19.57%

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 61.27%
No Goal 7.74%
Bahia 30.99%

Corners

Over 8 61.44%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 27.3%
Over 9 49.62%
Equal 9 11.82%
Under 9 38.56%
Over 10.5 38.27%
Under 10.5 61.73%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 48.28% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.72% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.73% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 78.27% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.9%
Under 3.5 92.1%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 56.35% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.65% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 22.26%
Under 1.5 77.74%
Over 2.5 6.59%
Under 2.5 93.41%
Over 3.5 1.6%
Under 3.5 98.4%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 54%
Draw 25.33%
Bahia 20.67%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 10.45%
2-0 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 7.8%
Total : 54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.33%
Bahia
0-1 @ 6.69%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 2.97%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 20.67%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 5, 2025 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 13, 2025 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Everaldo Stum 51' goal
  • Everton Ribeiro 58' goal
  • Kanu 80' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodriguez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 22'
  • yellowcard Everson 82'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Guilherme Arana 16' yellowcard
  • Hulk 62' goal
  • Gustavo Scarpa 77' yellowcard
  • Pedrinho 84' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Everson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thaciano 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 61'
  • goal Ademir 70'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Teixeira 80'
  • yellowcard Oscar Estupinan 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 11' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 11' goal
  • Luciano 45'+7' goal
  • Luciano 45'+7' goal
  • Vitor Hugo 61' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo 61' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 67' goal
  • Thaciano 67' goal
  • Ademir 90'+2' goal
  • Ademir 90'+2' goal
  • Ademir 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ademir 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 36'
  • goal Paulinho 36'
  • yellowcard Rubens 58'
  • yellowcard Rubens 58'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 85'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Otavio 44' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 44' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 49' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Teixeira 72'
  • redcard Ryan Carlos 90'+6'