Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 26, 2026 8.00pm
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 11.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 11.30pm
Corinthians 3 - 0 Remo
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Yuri Alberto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Corinthians has a probability of 25.65% and a draw has a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.08%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Corinthians win is 1-2 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result

Bahia 49.59% (+0.03)
Draw 24.76% (-0.06)
Corinthians 25.65% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.14% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.99% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 23.01% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 53.47% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 46.53% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 31.09% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 68.91% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 18.03% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 81.97% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Bahia 37.64% (-0.08)
Draw 43.54% (+0.02)
Corinthians 18.82% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bahia 60.82% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.31% (-0.07)
Corinthians 32.87% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.61% (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.09% (+0.01)
Under 8 24.3% (-0.26)
Over 9 52.64% (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.97% (+0.05)
Under 9 35.39% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 40.89% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 59.11% (-0.15)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 48.26% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 51.74% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 22.42% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 77.58% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.47% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 91.53% (-0.02)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 62.61% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.39% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 29.07% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.93% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.59% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 89.41% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.08% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bahia 49.6%
Draw 24.76%
Corinthians 25.64%
Bahia
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.08% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.31% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.13% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.33% (+0.03)
Total : 49.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 24.76%
Corinthians
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.94% (+0.03)
Total : 25.64%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Jan 28, 2026 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Breno Bidon 12' goal
  • André Luiz Santos Dias 63' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 63' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 63' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 64' yellowcard
  • Guilherme William Silva Inácio 78' yellowcard
  • Pedro Raul 78' yellowcard
  • Gui Negão 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jean Lucas 32'
  • yellowcard Willian Jose 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Willian José 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo 64'
  • yellowcard Cristian Olivera 64'
  • yellowcard Dell 64'
  • yellowcard Erick 68'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 77'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 78'
  • yellowcard Michel Araújo 78'
Brasileiro
Aug 17, 2025 1.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Mar 31, 2025 12.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Everton Ribeiro 43' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 43' yellowcard
  • Gilberto 45'+1' goal
  • Gilberto 45'+1' goal
  • Everton Ribeiro 51' redcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 51' redcard
  • Jean Lucas 63' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 63' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Xavier 73' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Xavier 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues 62'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues 62'
  • yellowcard Breno Bidon 85'
  • yellowcard Breno Bidon 85'
  • goal Hector Hernandez 90'
  • goal Hector Hernandez 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2024 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Memphis Depay 12' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 45'+4' goal
  • Memphis Depay 61' goal
  • Gustavo Henrique 68' yellowcard
  • Raniele 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 59'
  • yellowcard Luciano Rodriguez 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 68'
  • yellowcard Jean Lucas 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Caio Alexandre 27' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Henrique 37' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Teixeira 54' yellowcard
  • Victor Cuesta 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan 36'
  • goal Angel Romero 37'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Henrique 39'
  • yellowcard Kanu 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Nov 25, 2023 12.00am
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Gil 27' yellowcard
  • Renato Augusto 30' yellowcard
  • Renato Augusto 67' goal
  • goal Rezende 4'
  • goal Cauly Oliveira Souza 16'
  • goal Thaciano 29'
  • yellowcard Vitor Hugo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Thaciano 50'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 64'
  • goal Ademir 75'
  • goal Thaciano 85'