Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5

May 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stadion Stayen

Sint-Truiden
2 - 1
Beerschot VA

Bertaccini (39', 69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cagro (87' pen.)

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Sint-Truiden and Beerschot Wilrijk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sint-Truiden

All competitions

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 3-1 Sint-Truiden
Saturday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Beerschot Wilrijk

All competitions

Last Game: Beerschot VA 2-0 Kortrijk
Friday, April 25 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.

Result
Sint-Truiden	Draw	Beerschot Wilrijk
55.81% ( -0.54)	22.29% ( 0.15)	21.9% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 56.94% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.82% (

-0.16)

42.18% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.41% (

-0.16)

64.59% (

0.16)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

-0.23)

14.98% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.58% (

-0.44)

43.42% (

0.44)

Beerschot Wilrijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97% (

0.28)

33.03% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38% (

0.31)

69.62% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Sint-Truiden 55.81%

Beerschot Wilrijk 21.9%

Draw 22.28%

Sint-Truiden	Draw	Beerschot Wilrijk
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.81%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 21.9%