Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.